OneMain Holdings Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| OMF Stock | USD 57.11 2.90 4.83% |
OneMain Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OneMain Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of OneMain Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OneMain Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneMain Holdings from the perspective of OneMain Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of OneMain Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 58.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.36. OneMain Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 57.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneMain Holdings to cross-verify your projections. OneMain Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OneMain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneMain using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneMain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OneMain Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of OneMain Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 58.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 1.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneMain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneMain Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OneMain Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OneMain Holdings | OneMain Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OneMain Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OneMain Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneMain Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.13 and 60.84, respectively. We have considered OneMain Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneMain Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneMain Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7589 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0388 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 63.3642 |
Predictive Modules for OneMain Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneMain Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OneMain Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OneMain Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneMain Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneMain Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OneMain Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OneMain Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneMain Holdings' historical news coverage. OneMain Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.19 and 58.89, respectively. We have considered OneMain Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OneMain Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneMain Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
OneMain Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneMain Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneMain Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneMain Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
57.11 | 57.04 | 0.12 |
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OneMain Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 12th of February 2026 OneMain Holdings is traded for 57.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. OneMain is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 57.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on OneMain Holdings is about 919.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.10. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of OneMain Holdings was now reported as 29.02. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.61. OneMain Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.56. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneMain Holdings to cross-verify your projections.OneMain Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OneMain Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneMain Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OneMain Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneMain Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OBDC | Blue Owl Capital | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.46 | (0.04) | 2.50 | (1.92) | 7.19 | |
| SYF | Synchrony Financial | (0.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.67 | (3.59) | 12.73 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 2.56 | (2.65) | 7.55 | |
| SLM | SLM Corp | (0.90) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.45 | (3.41) | 20.19 | |
| AXS | AXIS Capital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.99 | (2.29) | 6.52 | |
| VOYA | Voya Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.01 | 2.25 | (2.52) | 7.61 | |
| BPOP | Popular | 0.21 | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.15 | 2.96 | (2.44) | 6.80 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | (0.25) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.86 | (8.51) | 30.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for OneMain Holdings
For every potential investor in OneMain, whether a beginner or expert, OneMain Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneMain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneMain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneMain Holdings' price trends.OneMain Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneMain Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneMain Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneMain Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OneMain Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneMain Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneMain Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneMain Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OneMain Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 268828.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.65) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 58.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 58.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.90) |
OneMain Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of OneMain Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneMain Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onemain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OneMain Holdings
The number of cover stories for OneMain Holdings depends on current market conditions and OneMain Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneMain Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneMain Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OneMain Holdings Short Properties
OneMain Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when OneMain Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneMain Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneMain Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneMain Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneMain Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in OneMain Stock please use our How to Invest in OneMain Holdings guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Can Consumer Finance industry sustain growth momentum? Does OneMain have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OneMain Holdings. Anticipated expansion of OneMain directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating OneMain Holdings demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
OneMain Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on OneMain's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate OneMain Holdings' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since OneMain Holdings' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between OneMain Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OneMain Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, OneMain Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.