Seabridge Gold Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SA Stock  USD 15.09  0.33  2.24%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seabridge Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 15.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.57. Seabridge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seabridge Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Seabridge Gold's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seabridge Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 22, 2024, Inventory Turnover is expected to decline to -0.04. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 0.01. As of November 22, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 51 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (7 M).
A two period moving average forecast for Seabridge Gold is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Seabridge Gold Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seabridge Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 15.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seabridge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seabridge Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seabridge Gold Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seabridge Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seabridge Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seabridge Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.23 and 17.95, respectively. We have considered Seabridge Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.09
15.09
Expected Value
17.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seabridge Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seabridge Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4433
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0644
MADMean absolute deviation0.4334
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0254
SAESum of the absolute errors25.57
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Seabridge Gold price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Seabridge Gold. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Seabridge Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seabridge Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2715.1317.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5820.5723.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.9816.7120.43
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.8939.4443.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seabridge Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seabridge Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seabridge Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seabridge Gold.

Other Forecasting Options for Seabridge Gold

For every potential investor in Seabridge, whether a beginner or expert, Seabridge Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seabridge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seabridge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seabridge Gold's price trends.

Seabridge Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seabridge Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seabridge Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seabridge Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seabridge Gold Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seabridge Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seabridge Gold's current price.

Seabridge Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seabridge Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seabridge Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seabridge Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seabridge Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seabridge Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seabridge Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seabridge Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seabridge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seabridge Gold to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Seabridge Stock refer to our How to Trade Seabridge Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seabridge Gold. If investors know Seabridge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seabridge Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.679
Earnings Share
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.02)
The market value of Seabridge Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seabridge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seabridge Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seabridge Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seabridge Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seabridge Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seabridge Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seabridge Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seabridge Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.