Seabridge Gold Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SA Stock | USD 27.81 0.45 1.59% |
Seabridge Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seabridge Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Seabridge Gold's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Seabridge Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Seabridge Gold's share price is approaching 46. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Seabridge Gold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.055 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.18) | Wall Street Target Price 41.8824 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.11 |
Using Seabridge Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seabridge Gold from the perspective of Seabridge Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Seabridge Gold using Seabridge Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Seabridge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Seabridge Gold's stock price.
Seabridge Gold Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Seabridge Gold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Seabridge. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Seabridge Gold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.855 | Short Percent 0.0621 | Short Ratio 4.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.7 M | 50 Day MA 22.835 |
Seabridge Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seabridge Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 27.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.44.Seabridge Gold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Seabridge Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Seabridge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Seabridge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Seabridge Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Seabridge Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Seabridge Gold.
Seabridge Gold Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Seabridge Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Seabridge Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Seabridge Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Seabridge Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Seabridge Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seabridge Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 27.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.44. Seabridge Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 27.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Seabridge contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Seabridge Gold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Seabridge Gold trading at USD 27.81, that is roughly USD 0.0122 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Seabridge Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Seabridge Gold options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Seabridge Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Seabridge Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Seabridge Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Seabridge Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Seabridge Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Seabridge Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Seabridge Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Seabridge. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Seabridge Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seabridge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seabridge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seabridge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Seabridge Gold Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seabridge Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 27.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 2.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seabridge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seabridge Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Seabridge Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Seabridge Gold | Seabridge Gold Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Seabridge Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Seabridge Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seabridge Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.68 and 31.94, respectively. We have considered Seabridge Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seabridge Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seabridge Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1485 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1394 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0075 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0345 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.445 |
Predictive Modules for Seabridge Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seabridge Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seabridge Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seabridge Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seabridge Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seabridge Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seabridge Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seabridge Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seabridge Gold's historical news coverage. Seabridge Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.71 and 31.91, respectively. We have considered Seabridge Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seabridge Gold is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seabridge Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seabridge Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seabridge Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seabridge Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seabridge Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 4.13 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.81 | 27.81 | 0.00 |
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Seabridge Gold Hype Timeline
As of February 3, 2026 Seabridge Gold is listed for 27.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Seabridge is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on Seabridge Gold is about 11472.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.79. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Seabridge Gold was at this time reported as 9.17. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 560.0. Seabridge Gold recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seabridge Gold to cross-verify your projections.Seabridge Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seabridge Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seabridge Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Seabridge Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seabridge Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGAU | Centerra Gold | (0.37) | 10 per month | 2.92 | 0.20 | 5.00 | (4.58) | 26.35 | |
| DRD | DRDGOLD Limited ADR | 1.40 | 6 per month | 3.48 | 0.12 | 5.10 | (8.22) | 18.57 | |
| PPTA | Perpetua Resources Corp | 0.65 | 9 per month | 4.78 | 0.04 | 7.23 | (6.93) | 30.39 | |
| EXK | Endeavour Silver Corp | 0.28 | 10 per month | 4.18 | 0.10 | 9.31 | (5.34) | 32.14 | |
| AAUC | Allied Gold | (0.08) | 9 per month | 3.02 | 0.25 | 6.21 | (4.32) | 17.83 | |
| ARMN | Aris Mining | (0.18) | 6 per month | 3.38 | 0.26 | 8.12 | (3.89) | 14.36 | |
| SID | Companhia Siderurgica Nacional | 0.03 | 9 per month | 3.06 | 0.04 | 5.56 | (5.79) | 15.70 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | (0.45) | 10 per month | 3.15 | 0.09 | 4.51 | (3.97) | 25.09 | |
| MTRN | Materion | (2.42) | 7 per month | 3.19 | 0.02 | 3.81 | (2.60) | 14.50 | |
| TMC | TMC the metals | 0.78 | 8 per month | 6.41 | 0.02 | 13.46 | (10.70) | 37.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Seabridge Gold
For every potential investor in Seabridge, whether a beginner or expert, Seabridge Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seabridge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seabridge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seabridge Gold's price trends.Seabridge Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seabridge Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seabridge Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seabridge Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Seabridge Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seabridge Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seabridge Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seabridge Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seabridge Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.45) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.16 |
Seabridge Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Seabridge Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seabridge Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seabridge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Variance | 16.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Seabridge Gold
The number of cover stories for Seabridge Gold depends on current market conditions and Seabridge Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seabridge Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seabridge Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seabridge Gold Short Properties
Seabridge Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seabridge Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seabridge Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seabridge Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seabridge Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seabridge Gold to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Seabridge Stock refer to our How to Trade Seabridge Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seabridge Gold. If investors know Seabridge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Seabridge Gold assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Seabridge Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seabridge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seabridge Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seabridge Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seabridge Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seabridge Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seabridge Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seabridge Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Seabridge Gold's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.