SGHC Stock Forward View
| SGHC Stock | USD 9.47 0.60 5.96% |
SGHC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SGHC stock prices and determine the direction of SGHC Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SGHC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of SGHC's share price is approaching 35. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SGHC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.693 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1744 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4553 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7247 | Wall Street Target Price 17.625 |
Using SGHC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SGHC Limited from the perspective of SGHC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SGHC using SGHC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SGHC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SGHC's stock price.
SGHC Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in SGHC's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SGHC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SGHC stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 10.9202 | Short Percent 0.1057 | Short Ratio 8.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.8 M | 50 Day MA 11.1004 |
SGHC Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SGHC Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.47.SGHC Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SGHC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SGHC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SGHC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SGHC Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SGHC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SGHC.
SGHC Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
SGHC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SGHC Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SGHC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SGHC stock will not fluctuate a lot when SGHC's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SGHC Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.47. SGHC after-hype prediction price | USD 9.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SGHC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SGHC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SGHC Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With SGHC trading at USD 9.47, that is roughly USD 0.005209 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SGHC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SGHC Limited options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 SGHC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SGHC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SGHC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SGHC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SGHC's open interest, investors have to compare it to SGHC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SGHC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SGHC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SGHC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SGHC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SGHC using various technical indicators. When you analyze SGHC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SGHC Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the SGHC's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 393 M | Current Value 469 M | Quarterly Volatility 154.1 M |
SGHC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SGHC Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SGHC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SGHC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SGHC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SGHC | SGHC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SGHC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SGHC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SGHC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.28 and 13.96, respectively. We have considered SGHC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SGHC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SGHC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2864 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.4716 |
Predictive Modules for SGHC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SGHC Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SGHC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SGHC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SGHC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SGHC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SGHC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SGHC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SGHC's historical news coverage. SGHC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.10 and 12.84, respectively. We have considered SGHC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SGHC is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SGHC Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
SGHC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SGHC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SGHC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SGHC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.34 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.47 | 9.47 | 0.00 |
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SGHC Hype Timeline
SGHC Limited is at this time traded for 9.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. SGHC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on SGHC is about 869.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.42. About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SGHC to cross-verify your projections.SGHC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SGHC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SGHC's future price movements. Getting to know how SGHC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SGHC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RSI | Rush Street Interactive | 0.96 | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.17 | (3.38) | 9.77 | |
| MTN | Vail Resorts | (2.62) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.80 | (3.39) | 13.29 | |
| LNW | Light Wonder | (0.35) | 4 per month | 1.62 | 0.09 | 3.55 | (2.94) | 14.31 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | 0.56 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.25 | (1.91) | 9.71 | |
| BYD | Boyd Gaming | (0.60) | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.04 | 2.56 | (1.98) | 6.83 | |
| CZR | Caesars Entertainment | (0.68) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.36 | (3.94) | 15.21 | |
| LTH | Life Time Group | (0.14) | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 3.90 | (3.10) | 9.67 | |
| M | Macys Inc | (0.76) | 10 per month | 2.03 | 0.04 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 | |
| VFC | VF Corporation | (0.25) | 11 per month | 2.92 | 0.08 | 5.39 | (4.83) | 16.55 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.51 | 0.11 | 2.13 | (1.31) | 19.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for SGHC
For every potential investor in SGHC, whether a beginner or expert, SGHC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SGHC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SGHC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SGHC's price trends.SGHC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SGHC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SGHC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SGHC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SGHC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SGHC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SGHC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SGHC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SGHC Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SGHC Risk Indicators
The analysis of SGHC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SGHC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sghc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SGHC
The number of cover stories for SGHC depends on current market conditions and SGHC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SGHC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SGHC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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SGHC Short Properties
SGHC's future price predictability will typically decrease when SGHC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SGHC Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SGHC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SGHC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 503.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 401.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SGHC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could SGHC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SGHC. If investors know SGHC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SGHC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.693 | Dividend Share 0.089 | Earnings Share 0.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.178 |
The market value of SGHC Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SGHC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SGHC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SGHC's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because SGHC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SGHC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SGHC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SGHC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, SGHC's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.