TriCo Bancshares Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| TCBK Stock | USD 49.06 0.42 0.85% |
TriCo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although TriCo Bancshares' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TriCo Bancshares' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TriCo Bancshares fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of TriCo Bancshares' share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TriCo Bancshares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.17 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.925 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.035 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.2083 | Wall Street Target Price 55.1667 |
Using TriCo Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TriCo Bancshares from the perspective of TriCo Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TriCo Bancshares using TriCo Bancshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TriCo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TriCo Bancshares' stock price.
TriCo Bancshares Short Interest
An investor who is long TriCo Bancshares may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TriCo Bancshares and may potentially protect profits, hedge TriCo Bancshares with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 43.5643 | Short Percent 0.0193 | Short Ratio 4.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 586.5 K | 50 Day MA 48.2272 |
TriCo Relative Strength Index
TriCo Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TriCo Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TriCo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TriCo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TriCo Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TriCo Bancshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TriCo Bancshares.
TriCo Bancshares Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
TriCo Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TriCo Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TriCo Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TriCo Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when TriCo Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
TriCo Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 49.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TriCo Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TriCo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TriCo Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With TriCo Bancshares trading at USD 49.06, that is roughly USD 0.0276 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TriCo Bancshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring TriCo Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TriCo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TriCo Bancshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TriCo Bancshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TriCo Bancshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TriCo Bancshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to TriCo Bancshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TriCo Bancshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TriCo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TriCo Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TriCo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TriCo using various technical indicators. When you analyze TriCo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 3182.1 | 1739.26 |
| Check TriCo Bancshares Volatility | Backtest TriCo Bancshares | Information Ratio |
TriCo Bancshares Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 TriCo Bancshares was traded for 49.06 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 49.97 and the lowest listed price was 48.92 . The trading volume for the day was 82.8 K. The trading history from January 27, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.20% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare TriCo Bancshares to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for TriCo Bancshares
For every potential investor in TriCo, whether a beginner or expert, TriCo Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TriCo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TriCo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TriCo Bancshares' price trends.TriCo Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TriCo Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TriCo Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TriCo Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TriCo Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TriCo Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TriCo Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TriCo Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TriCo Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1739.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 49.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.59) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.42) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.17 |
TriCo Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of TriCo Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TriCo Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trico stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TriCo Bancshares
The number of cover stories for TriCo Bancshares depends on current market conditions and TriCo Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TriCo Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TriCo Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TriCo Bancshares Short Properties
TriCo Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when TriCo Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TriCo Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TriCo Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TriCo Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TriCo Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy TriCo Stock please use our How to buy in TriCo Stock guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TriCo Bancshares. If investors know TriCo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TriCo Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.17 | Dividend Share 1.38 | Earnings Share 3.7 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 |
The market value of TriCo Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TriCo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TriCo Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TriCo Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TriCo Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TriCo Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TriCo Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TriCo Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TriCo Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.