Toll Brothers Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| TOL Stock | USD 136.15 0.57 0.42% |
Toll Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Toll Brothers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Toll Brothers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Toll Brothers fundamentals over time.
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of Toll Brothers' share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 85
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.8436 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.1196 | Wall Street Target Price 149.3572 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 4.875 |
Using Toll Brothers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toll Brothers from the perspective of Toll Brothers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Toll Brothers using Toll Brothers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Toll using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Toll Brothers' stock price.
Toll Brothers Short Interest
An investor who is long Toll Brothers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Toll Brothers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Toll Brothers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 122.909 | Short Percent 0.0537 | Short Ratio 2.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.7 M | 50 Day MA 136.0106 |
Toll Brothers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Toll Brothers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Toll. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Toll can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Toll Brothers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Toll Brothers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Toll Brothers.
Toll Brothers Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Toll Brothers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Toll Brothers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Toll Brothers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Toll Brothers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Toll Brothers' options are near their expiration.
Toll Brothers after-hype prediction price | USD 136.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toll Brothers to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Toll Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Toll Brothers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Toll Brothers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Toll Brothers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Toll Brothers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Toll Brothers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Toll Brothers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Toll. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Toll Brothers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Toll price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toll using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toll charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 13152.43 | 17454.62 |
| Check Toll Brothers Volatility | Backtest Toll Brothers | Information Ratio |
Toll Brothers Trading Date Momentum
| On January 05 2026 Toll Brothers was traded for 136.15 at the closing time. Highest Toll Brothers's price during the trading hours was 137.60 and the lowest price during the day was 134.25 . The net volume was 716.9 K. The overall trading history on the 5th of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.21% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Toll Brothers to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Toll Brothers
For every potential investor in Toll, whether a beginner or expert, Toll Brothers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toll Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toll. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toll Brothers' price trends.Toll Brothers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toll Brothers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toll Brothers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toll Brothers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Toll Brothers Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Toll Brothers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Toll Brothers' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Toll Brothers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toll Brothers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toll Brothers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toll Brothers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toll Brothers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Toll Brothers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Toll Brothers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toll Brothers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toll stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toll Brothers to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 13.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.