Toll Brothers Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

Toll Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Toll Brothers' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Toll Brothers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Toll Brothers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Toll Brothers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Toll Brothers, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Toll Brothers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toll Brothers from the perspective of Toll Brothers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Toll Brothers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 144.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Toll Brothers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Toll price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toll using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toll charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Toll Brothers is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Toll Brothers price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Toll Brothers. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Toll Brothers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toll Brothers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Symbol  TOL
Name  Toll Brothers
TypeStock
Country  
 United States
Exchange  NYSE

Hype Analysis is not found for Toll Brothers at this time

We are unable to locate Toll Brothers hype analysis at this time. If you believe the equity you are trying to look up is valid, please let us know, and we will check it out.

Hype Analysis

Prediction analysis is currently not available

Other Suggestions

T ATT IncCompany
TVC Tennessee Valley AuthorityCompany
TDF Templeton Dragon ClosedFund
TAN Invesco Solar ETFETF
TNX Cboe Interest RateIndex
THC THCCryptocurrency

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Did you try this?

Run Bond Analysis Now

   

Bond Analysis

Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
All  Next Launch Module

Other Forecasting Options for Toll Brothers

For every potential investor in Toll, whether a beginner or expert, Toll Brothers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Toll Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Toll. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Toll Brothers' price trends.

Toll Brothers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toll Brothers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toll Brothers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toll Brothers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Toll Brothers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toll Brothers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toll Brothers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toll Brothers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toll Brothers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Toll Brothers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Toll Brothers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Toll Brothers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting toll stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Toll Brothers

The number of cover stories for Toll Brothers depends on current market conditions and Toll Brothers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Toll Brothers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Toll Brothers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Toll Brothers Short Properties

Toll Brothers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Toll Brothers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Toll Brothers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Toll Brothers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toll Brothers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Toll Brothers to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Toll Brothers assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Toll Brothers using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Toll Brothers' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Toll Brothers' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Toll Brothers' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.