United Bankshares Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UBSI Stock | USD 43.29 0.48 1.12% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 43.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.48. United Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of United Bankshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
United |
United Bankshares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 43.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
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United Bankshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.08 and 45.50, respectively. We have considered United Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7817 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.079 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5325 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0137 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.48 |
Predictive Modules for United Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Bankshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for United Bankshares
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Bankshares' price trends.View United Bankshares Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Bankshares Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of United Bankshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of United Bankshares' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
United Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20695.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3934 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.64 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.48 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.66 |
United Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether United Bankshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of United Bankshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of United Bankshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on United Bankshares Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Bankshares guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Bankshares. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share 7.498 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of United Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.