Universal Insurance Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

UVE Stock  USD 31.34  0.11  0.35%   
Universal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Universal Insurance stock prices and determine the direction of Universal Insurance Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Universal Insurance's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Universal Insurance's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Universal Insurance, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Universal Insurance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Universal Insurance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Universal Insurance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Universal Insurance Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Universal Insurance's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.58
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.32
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.34
Wall Street Target Price
40
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.58)
Using Universal Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Universal Insurance Holdings from the perspective of Universal Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Universal Insurance using Universal Insurance's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Universal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Universal Insurance's stock price.

Universal Insurance Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Universal Insurance's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Universal. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Universal Insurance stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
27.8942
Short Percent
0.0222
Short Ratio
2.76
Shares Short Prior Month
401.3 K
50 Day MA
31.9062

Universal Relative Strength Index

Universal Insurance Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Universal Insurance's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Universal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Universal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Universal Insurance Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Universal Insurance's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Universal Insurance.

Universal Insurance Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Universal Insurance's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Universal Insurance Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Universal Insurance's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Universal Insurance stock will not fluctuate a lot when Universal Insurance's options are near their expiration.

Universal Insurance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Insurance to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Universal contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Universal Insurance Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Universal Insurance trading at USD 31.34, that is roughly USD 0.00901 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Universal Insurance's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Universal Insurance Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Universal Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Universal Insurance's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Universal Insurance's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Universal Insurance stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Universal Insurance's open interest, investors have to compare it to Universal Insurance's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Universal Insurance is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Universal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Universal Insurance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Universal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Universal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Universal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Universal Insurance Holdings has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0057. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Universal Insurance is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Universal Insurance Holdings to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Universal Insurance trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Universal Insurance VolatilityBacktest Universal InsuranceInformation Ratio  

Universal Insurance Trading Date Momentum

On February 04 2026 Universal Insurance Holdings was traded for  31.34  at the closing time. Highest Universal Insurance's price during the trading hours was 31.34  and the lowest price during the day was  31.16 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 4th of February did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.35% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Universal Insurance to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Universal Insurance

For every potential investor in Universal, whether a beginner or expert, Universal Insurance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Universal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Universal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Universal Insurance's price trends.

Universal Insurance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Universal Insurance stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Universal Insurance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Universal Insurance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Universal Insurance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Universal Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Universal Insurance stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Universal Insurance Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Universal Insurance Risk Indicators

The analysis of Universal Insurance's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Universal Insurance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting universal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Universal Insurance

The number of cover stories for Universal Insurance depends on current market conditions and Universal Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Universal Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Universal Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Universal Insurance Short Properties

Universal Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Universal Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Universal Insurance Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Universal Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments419.4 M
When determining whether Universal Insurance is a strong investment it is important to analyze Universal Insurance's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Universal Insurance's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Universal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Insurance to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Property & Casualty Insurance sector continue expanding? Could Universal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Insurance. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Universal Insurance data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Dividend Share
0.64
Earnings Share
4.24
Revenue Per Share
56.415
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
0.0367
Understanding Universal Insurance requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Universal's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Universal Insurance's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Universal Insurance's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Universal Insurance's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.