VersaBank Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| VBNK Stock | 22.00 0.32 1.43% |
VersaBank Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although VersaBank's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of VersaBank's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of VersaBank fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of VersaBank's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7033 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.49 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.34 |
Using VersaBank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VersaBank from the perspective of VersaBank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VersaBank on the next trading day is expected to be 22.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.42. VersaBank after-hype prediction price | CAD 22.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VersaBank |
VersaBank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VersaBank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VersaBank using various technical indicators. When you analyze VersaBank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VersaBank Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VersaBank on the next trading day is expected to be 22.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VersaBank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VersaBank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VersaBank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VersaBank | VersaBank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
VersaBank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VersaBank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VersaBank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.10 and 24.22, respectively. We have considered VersaBank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VersaBank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VersaBank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.888 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1471 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3122 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.42 |
Predictive Modules for VersaBank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VersaBank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VersaBank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VersaBank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VersaBank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VersaBank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VersaBank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VersaBank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VersaBank's historical news coverage. VersaBank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.17 and 24.29, respectively. We have considered VersaBank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VersaBank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VersaBank is based on 3 months time horizon.
VersaBank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VersaBank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VersaBank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VersaBank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.06 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.00 | 22.23 | 0.40 |
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VersaBank Hype Timeline
VersaBank is at this time traded for 22.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. VersaBank is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on VersaBank is about 41200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.00. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VersaBank last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VersaBank to cross-verify your projections.VersaBank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VersaBank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VersaBank's future price movements. Getting to know how VersaBank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VersaBank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AI | Atrium Mortgage Investment | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.34 | 0.04 | 1.18 | (0.69) | 3.03 | |
| LBS | Life Banc Split | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.52 | 0.18 | 1.62 | (1.01) | 3.50 | |
| TF | Timbercreek Financial Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.73 | 0.09 | 1.74 | (1.66) | 4.85 | |
| BK | Canadian Banc Corp | 0.24 | 5 per month | 0.26 | 0.15 | 1.63 | (1.03) | 8.95 | |
| AIM-PA | Aimia Srs 1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.03 | 2.33 | (1.51) | 9.51 | |
| FC | Firm Capital Mortgage | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.46 | 0.06 | 0.77 | (1.05) | 2.71 | |
| FFN | North American Financial | (0.02) | 1 per month | 1.32 | 0.16 | 2.05 | (1.50) | 7.76 | |
| QRC | Queens Road Capital | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.38 | 0.30 | 4.36 | (1.27) | 13.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for VersaBank
For every potential investor in VersaBank, whether a beginner or expert, VersaBank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VersaBank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VersaBank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VersaBank's price trends.VersaBank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VersaBank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VersaBank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VersaBank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VersaBank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VersaBank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VersaBank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VersaBank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VersaBank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 373.6 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.74) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.32) |
VersaBank Risk Indicators
The analysis of VersaBank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VersaBank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting versabank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Variance | 4.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VersaBank
The number of cover stories for VersaBank depends on current market conditions and VersaBank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VersaBank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VersaBank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VersaBank Short Properties
VersaBank's future price predictability will typically decrease when VersaBank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VersaBank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VersaBank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VersaBank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 582.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VersaBank to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in VersaBank Stock, please use our How to Invest in VersaBank guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..