WESCO International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WCC Stock | USD 286.41 3.73 1.29% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WESCO International on the next trading day is expected to be 297.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 424.83. WESCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WESCO International stock prices and determine the direction of WESCO International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WESCO International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of WESCO International's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.8178 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.4308 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.4407 | Wall Street Target Price 296.4167 |
Using WESCO International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WESCO International from the perspective of WESCO International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards WESCO International using WESCO International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards WESCO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of WESCO International's stock price.
WESCO International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in WESCO International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards WESCO. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of WESCO International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 212.9871 | Short Percent 0.0429 | Short Ratio 4.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 263.082 |
WESCO International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to WESCO International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in WESCO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding WESCO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around WESCO International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
WESCO International Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
WESCO International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of WESCO International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if WESCO International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that WESCO International stock will not fluctuate a lot when WESCO International's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WESCO International on the next trading day is expected to be 297.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 424.83. WESCO International after-hype prediction price | USD 286.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WESCO International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current WESCO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that WESCO International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With WESCO International trading at USD 286.41, that is roughly USD 0.0949 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating WESCO International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring WESCO International options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 WESCO Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast WESCO International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in WESCO International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for WESCO International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current WESCO International's open interest, investors have to compare it to WESCO International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of WESCO International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in WESCO. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
WESCO International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine WESCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WESCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze WESCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
WESCO International Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the WESCO International's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1998-12-31 | Previous Quarter 667 M | Current Value 571.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 192.2 M |
WESCO International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WESCO International on the next trading day is expected to be 297.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.85, mean absolute percentage error of 68.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 424.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WESCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WESCO International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
WESCO International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest WESCO International | WESCO International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
WESCO International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting WESCO International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WESCO International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 295.16 and 300.22, respectively. We have considered WESCO International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WESCO International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WESCO International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.1802 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.8521 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 424.8305 |
Predictive Modules for WESCO International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WESCO International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WESCO International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
WESCO International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of WESCO International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WESCO International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WESCO International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
WESCO International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting WESCO International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WESCO International's historical news coverage. WESCO International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 283.88 and 288.94, respectively. We have considered WESCO International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
WESCO International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WESCO International is based on 3 months time horizon.
WESCO International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WESCO International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WESCO International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WESCO International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.53 | 0.50 | 1.17 | 20 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 20 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
286.41 | 286.41 | 0.00 |
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WESCO International Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January WESCO International is traded for 286.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.17. WESCO is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on WESCO International is about 95.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 287.58. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of WESCO International was at this time reported as 99.65. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. WESCO International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. The firm had 5:289 split on the 13th of May 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 20 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WESCO International to cross-verify your projections.WESCO International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to WESCO International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WESCO International's future price movements. Getting to know how WESCO International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WESCO International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WSO | Watsco Inc | 0.49 | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.01 | 4.05 | (2.70) | 9.14 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 12.45 | 6 per month | 0.75 | 0.15 | 2.68 | (1.79) | 6.54 | |
| NDSN | Nordson | 1.18 | 9 per month | 0.73 | 0.16 | 2.33 | (1.45) | 4.63 | |
| CNM | Core Main | 1.56 | 20 per month | 1.77 | 0.05 | 3.56 | (2.83) | 11.37 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | (1.14) | 4 per month | 2.16 | (0.01) | 5.94 | (3.40) | 15.38 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | (0.24) | 3 per month | 1.01 | 0.08 | 2.70 | (1.73) | 7.04 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 1.94 | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.25 | 4.34 | (2.56) | 10.50 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | 6.05 | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.06 | 2.47 | (2.84) | 7.77 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 1.63 | 7 per month | 1.18 | 0.03 | 2.46 | (1.90) | 6.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for WESCO International
For every potential investor in WESCO, whether a beginner or expert, WESCO International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WESCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WESCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WESCO International's price trends.WESCO International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WESCO International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WESCO International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WESCO International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
WESCO International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WESCO International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WESCO International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WESCO International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WESCO International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8304.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 286.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 286.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.73) |
WESCO International Risk Indicators
The analysis of WESCO International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WESCO International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for WESCO International
The number of cover stories for WESCO International depends on current market conditions and WESCO International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WESCO International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WESCO International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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WESCO International Short Properties
WESCO International's future price predictability will typically decrease when WESCO International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of WESCO International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential WESCO International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WESCO International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 702.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WESCO International to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade WESCO Stock refer to our How to Trade WESCO Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WESCO International. If investors know WESCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WESCO International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 1.773 | Earnings Share 12.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 |
The market value of WESCO International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WESCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WESCO International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WESCO International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WESCO International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WESCO International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WESCO International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WESCO International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WESCO International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.