Wheaton Precious Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

WPM Stock  USD 143.70  6.09  4.43%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Wheaton Precious Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 135.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.41. Wheaton Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Wheaton Precious' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Wheaton Precious' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Wheaton Precious fundamentals over time.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Wheaton Precious' share price is above 70 as of now. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Wheaton, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 71

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Wheaton Precious' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wheaton Precious and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wheaton Precious' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wheaton Precious Metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Wheaton Precious' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.374
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8622
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.7231
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.7213
Wall Street Target Price
149.224
Using Wheaton Precious hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wheaton Precious Metals from the perspective of Wheaton Precious response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wheaton Precious using Wheaton Precious' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wheaton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wheaton Precious' stock price.

Wheaton Precious Short Interest

An investor who is long Wheaton Precious may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wheaton Precious and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wheaton Precious with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
98.5618
Short Percent
0.017
Short Ratio
2.02
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
114.4084

Wheaton Precious Metals Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Wheaton Precious' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wheaton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wheaton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wheaton Precious Metals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Wheaton Precious Implied Volatility

    
  0.48  
Wheaton Precious' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wheaton Precious Metals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wheaton Precious' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wheaton Precious stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wheaton Precious' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Wheaton Precious Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 135.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.41.

Wheaton Precious after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 143.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wheaton Precious to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wheaton contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wheaton Precious Metals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Wheaton Precious trading at USD 143.7, that is roughly USD 0.0431 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wheaton Precious' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wheaton Precious Metals options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Wheaton Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Wheaton Precious' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Wheaton Precious' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Wheaton Precious stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Wheaton Precious' open interest, investors have to compare it to Wheaton Precious' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Wheaton Precious is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Wheaton. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Wheaton Precious Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wheaton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wheaton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wheaton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Wheaton Precious price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Wheaton Precious Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Wheaton Precious Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 135.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.20, mean absolute percentage error of 15.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wheaton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wheaton Precious' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wheaton Precious Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Wheaton PreciousWheaton Precious Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Wheaton Precious Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wheaton Precious' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wheaton Precious' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 133.16 and 137.73, respectively. We have considered Wheaton Precious' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
143.70
133.16
Downside
135.45
Expected Value
137.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wheaton Precious stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wheaton Precious stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.6896
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.2002
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors198.411
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Wheaton Precious Metals historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Wheaton Precious

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wheaton Precious Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
141.36143.70146.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
129.33154.97157.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
109.56125.72141.89
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
135.79149.22165.64
Details

Wheaton Precious After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wheaton Precious at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wheaton Precious or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wheaton Precious, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wheaton Precious Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wheaton Precious' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wheaton Precious' historical news coverage. Wheaton Precious' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.36 and 146.04, respectively. We have considered Wheaton Precious' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
143.70
141.36
Downside
143.70
After-hype Price
146.04
Upside
Wheaton Precious is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wheaton Precious Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wheaton Precious Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wheaton Precious is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wheaton Precious backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wheaton Precious, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.73 
2.29
  0.78 
  0.65 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
143.70
143.70
0.00 
214.02  
Notes

Wheaton Precious Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Wheaton Precious Metals is traded for 143.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.78, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.65. Wheaton is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wheaton Precious is about 256.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.35. About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.4. Wheaton Precious Metals last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2025. The entity had 1:5 split on the 21st of December 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wheaton Precious to cross-verify your projections.

Wheaton Precious Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wheaton Precious' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wheaton Precious' future price movements. Getting to know how Wheaton Precious' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wheaton Precious may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FNVFranco Nevada(2.47)8 per month 1.70  0.15  3.37 (3.22) 8.99 
GFIGold Fields Ltd(1.20)11 per month 3.40  0.07  6.28 (6.36) 14.92 
AUAngloGold Ashanti plc 1.01 13 per month 3.30  0.14  6.75 (5.21) 14.20 
CTVACorteva(0.51)10 per month 0.91  0.11  2.20 (1.41) 5.41 
BBarrick Mining(0.47)9 per month 2.34  0.20  4.37 (4.22) 13.47 
KGCKinross Gold(0.06)8 per month 2.90  0.17  5.44 (4.85) 14.35 
VMCVulcan Materials(1.32)10 per month 1.69 (0.03) 2.10 (2.58) 8.21 
MLMMartin Marietta Materials 13.30 8 per month 1.52 (0.02) 1.89 (2.34) 8.83 
VALEVale SA ADR 0.52 9 per month 1.16  0.27  3.54 (2.07) 12.30 
APDAir Products and 0.12 21 per month 2.08 (0) 2.50 (2.40) 18.39 

Other Forecasting Options for Wheaton Precious

For every potential investor in Wheaton, whether a beginner or expert, Wheaton Precious' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wheaton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wheaton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wheaton Precious' price trends.

Wheaton Precious Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wheaton Precious stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wheaton Precious could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wheaton Precious by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wheaton Precious Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wheaton Precious stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wheaton Precious shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wheaton Precious stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wheaton Precious Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wheaton Precious Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wheaton Precious' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wheaton Precious' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wheaton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Wheaton Precious

The number of cover stories for Wheaton Precious depends on current market conditions and Wheaton Precious' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wheaton Precious is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wheaton Precious' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Wheaton Precious Short Properties

Wheaton Precious' future price predictability will typically decrease when Wheaton Precious' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wheaton Precious Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wheaton Precious' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wheaton Precious' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding454.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments818.2 M
When determining whether Wheaton Precious Metals is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wheaton Precious' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wheaton Precious' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wheaton Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wheaton Precious to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wheaton Precious. If investors know Wheaton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wheaton Precious listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.374
Dividend Share
0.65
Earnings Share
2.2
Revenue Per Share
4.033
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.545
The market value of Wheaton Precious Metals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wheaton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wheaton Precious' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wheaton Precious' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wheaton Precious' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wheaton Precious' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wheaton Precious' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wheaton Precious is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wheaton Precious' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.