Zions Bancorporation Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

ZION Stock  USD 59.91  0.48  0.81%   
Zions Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Zions Bancorporation's share price is at 57. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zions Bancorporation, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zions Bancorporation's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zions Bancorporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Zions Bancorporation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zions Bancorporation from the perspective of Zions Bancorporation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 60.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.94.

Zions Bancorporation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zions Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Zions Stock, please use our How to Invest in Zions Bancorporation guide.

Zions Bancorporation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zions price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zions using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zions charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Zions Bancorporation works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Zions Bancorporation Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 60.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zions Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zions Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zions Bancorporation Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zions Bancorporation  Zions Bancorporation Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Zions Bancorporation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zions Bancorporation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zions Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.55 and 61.57, respectively. We have considered Zions Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.91
60.06
Expected Value
61.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zions Bancorporation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zions Bancorporation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1402
MADMean absolute deviation0.6431
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors37.9402
When Zions Bancorporation prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Zions Bancorporation trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Zions Bancorporation observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Zions Bancorporation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zions Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.4059.9161.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.1954.7065.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
57.8759.5961.32
Details

Zions Bancorporation After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zions Bancorporation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zions Bancorporation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zions Bancorporation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zions Bancorporation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zions Bancorporation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zions Bancorporation's historical news coverage. Zions Bancorporation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.40 and 61.42, respectively. We have considered Zions Bancorporation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
59.91
59.91
After-hype Price
61.42
Upside
Zions Bancorporation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zions Bancorporation is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zions Bancorporation Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zions Bancorporation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zions Bancorporation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zions Bancorporation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.51
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.91
59.91
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Zions Bancorporation Hype Timeline

Zions Bancorporation is at this time traded for 59.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Zions is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zions Bancorporation is about 2903.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.90. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Zions Bancorporation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.73. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.01. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. Zions Bancorporation had 4:1 split on the 15th of May 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zions Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Zions Stock, please use our How to Invest in Zions Bancorporation guide.

Zions Bancorporation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zions Bancorporation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zions Bancorporation's future price movements. Getting to know how Zions Bancorporation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zions Bancorporation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BPOPPopular 0.00 0 per month 1.33  0.15  2.90 (2.08) 6.73 
ONBOld National Bancorp 0.46 8 per month 1.14  0.14  2.93 (1.98) 7.78 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation(3.04)8 per month 1.69  0.08  3.88 (2.96) 10.08 
CFRCullenFrost Bankers 1.83 9 per month 0.86  0.09  3.15 (1.48) 7.64 
UMBFUMB Financial(0.87)10 per month 1.07  0.1  3.61 (1.53) 6.43 
CBSHCommerce Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 1.16  0.04  2.40 (2.03) 6.30 
CADECadence Bancorp 0.67 7 per month 1.49  0.09  3.30 (2.25) 10.36 
PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners 0.00 0 per month 1.47  0.08  2.99 (2.01) 8.67 
SNVSynovus Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.16  2.93 (1.40) 7.10 
WTFCWintrust Financial 0.43 8 per month 1.18  0.1  2.62 (1.57) 8.80 

Other Forecasting Options for Zions Bancorporation

For every potential investor in Zions, whether a beginner or expert, Zions Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zions Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zions. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zions Bancorporation's price trends.

Zions Bancorporation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zions Bancorporation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zions Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zions Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zions Bancorporation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zions Bancorporation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zions Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zions Bancorporation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zions Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zions Bancorporation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zions Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zions Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zions stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zions Bancorporation

The number of cover stories for Zions Bancorporation depends on current market conditions and Zions Bancorporation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zions Bancorporation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zions Bancorporation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Zions Bancorporation Short Properties

Zions Bancorporation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zions Bancorporation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zions Bancorporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zions Bancorporation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zions Bancorporation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding147.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.8 B
When determining whether Zions Bancorporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Zions Bancorporation's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zions Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zions Bancorporation Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zions Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Zions Stock, please use our How to Invest in Zions Bancorporation guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Zions diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zions Bancorporation. Anticipated expansion of Zions directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Zions Bancorporation data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Zions Bancorporation using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Zions Bancorporation's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Zions Bancorporation's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zions Bancorporation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zions Bancorporation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Zions Bancorporation's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.