Zions Bancorporation Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ZION Stock | USD 59.08 1.95 3.20% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 59.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.33. Zions Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Zions Bancorporation's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Zions Bancorporation's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Zions Bancorporation fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Zions Bancorporation's share price is below 20 . This usually means that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.314 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3818 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1802 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.5305 | Wall Street Target Price 66.0455 |
Using Zions Bancorporation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zions Bancorporation from the perspective of Zions Bancorporation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Zions Bancorporation using Zions Bancorporation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Zions using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Zions Bancorporation's stock price.
Zions Bancorporation Short Interest
An investor who is long Zions Bancorporation may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Zions Bancorporation and may potentially protect profits, hedge Zions Bancorporation with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 53.0457 | Short Percent 0.0513 | Short Ratio 4.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.7 M | 50 Day MA 56.7344 |
Zions Bancorporation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Zions Bancorporation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Zions. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Zions can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Zions Bancorporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Zions Bancorporation Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Zions Bancorporation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zions Bancorporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zions Bancorporation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zions Bancorporation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zions Bancorporation's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 59.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.33. Zions Bancorporation after-hype prediction price | USD 59.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zions Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Zions contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Zions Bancorporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Zions Bancorporation trading at USD 59.08, that is roughly USD 0.0162 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Zions Bancorporation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Zions Bancorporation options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Zions Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Zions Bancorporation's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Zions Bancorporation's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Zions Bancorporation stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Zions Bancorporation's open interest, investors have to compare it to Zions Bancorporation's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Zions Bancorporation is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Zions. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Zions Bancorporation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Zions price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zions using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zions charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Zions Bancorporation Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zions Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 59.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zions Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zions Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Zions Bancorporation Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Zions Bancorporation | Zions Bancorporation Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Zions Bancorporation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Zions Bancorporation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zions Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.58 and 60.58, respectively. We have considered Zions Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zions Bancorporation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zions Bancorporation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9339 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1215 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6055 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.33 |
Predictive Modules for Zions Bancorporation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zions Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zions Bancorporation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Zions Bancorporation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zions Bancorporation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zions Bancorporation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Zions Bancorporation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Zions Bancorporation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zions Bancorporation's historical news coverage. Zions Bancorporation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.57 and 60.61, respectively. We have considered Zions Bancorporation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Zions Bancorporation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zions Bancorporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Zions Bancorporation Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zions Bancorporation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zions Bancorporation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zions Bancorporation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
59.08 | 59.09 | 0.02 |
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Zions Bancorporation Hype Timeline
Zions Bancorporation is at this time traded for 59.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Zions is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 59.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Zions Bancorporation is about 323.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.17. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 B. Net Income was 784 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.31 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zions Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.Zions Bancorporation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Zions Bancorporation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zions Bancorporation's future price movements. Getting to know how Zions Bancorporation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zions Bancorporation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BPOP | Popular | (0.93) | 15 per month | 1.55 | (0.01) | 2.67 | (2.44) | 6.25 | |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | 0.59 | 6 per month | 1.19 | 0.09 | 2.93 | (1.98) | 6.92 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 2.14 | 11 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 3.88 | (2.96) | 8.74 | |
| CFR | CullenFrost Bankers | 0.59 | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.06 | 3.15 | (1.48) | 5.24 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | (0.48) | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.05 | 3.61 | (1.53) | 6.43 | |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares | 1.44 | 9 per month | 1.14 | (0.01) | 2.40 | (2.03) | 6.30 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | 1.06 | 11 per month | 1.52 | 0.09 | 3.62 | (2.24) | 10.35 | |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners | 1.06 | 12 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 2.99 | (2.01) | 8.67 | |
| SNV | Synovus Financial Corp | (0.28) | 2 per month | 1.99 | (0.01) | 2.93 | (2.49) | 9.63 | |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | (0.55) | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.1 | 2.62 | (1.89) | 6.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Zions Bancorporation
For every potential investor in Zions, whether a beginner or expert, Zions Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zions Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zions. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zions Bancorporation's price trends.Zions Bancorporation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zions Bancorporation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zions Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zions Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Zions Bancorporation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zions Bancorporation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zions Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zions Bancorporation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zions Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Zions Bancorporation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Zions Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zions Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zions stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Zions Bancorporation
The number of cover stories for Zions Bancorporation depends on current market conditions and Zions Bancorporation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zions Bancorporation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zions Bancorporation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Zions Bancorporation Short Properties
Zions Bancorporation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zions Bancorporation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zions Bancorporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zions Bancorporation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zions Bancorporation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 147.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zions Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Zions Stock, please use our How to Invest in Zions Bancorporation guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zions Bancorporation. If investors know Zions will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zions Bancorporation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.314 | Dividend Share 1.76 | Earnings Share 6.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.136 |
The market value of Zions Bancorporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zions that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zions Bancorporation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zions Bancorporation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zions Bancorporation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zions Bancorporation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zions Bancorporation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zions Bancorporation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zions Bancorporation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.