Mercantile Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 54.03
| MBWM Stock | USD 54.03 0.58 1.06% |
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Mercantile Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 54.03
The tendency of Mercantile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 54.03 | 90 days | 54.03 | nearly 4.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mercantile Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.01 (This Mercantile Bank probability density function shows the probability of Mercantile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Mercantile Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mercantile Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercantile Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercantile Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mercantile Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mercantile Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mercantile Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mercantile Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mercantile Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Mercantile Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mercantile Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mercantile Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mercantile Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Mercantile Bank has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 17th of December 2025 Mercantile Bank paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mercantile Bank Could Be a Great Choice |
Mercantile Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mercantile Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mercantile Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercantile Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Mercantile Bank Technical Analysis
Mercantile Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mercantile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mercantile Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mercantile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mercantile Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Mercantile Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mercantile Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mercantile Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mercantile Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mercantile Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mercantile Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mercantile Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Mercantile Bank has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 17th of December 2025 Mercantile Bank paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mercantile Bank Could Be a Great Choice |
Check out Mercantile Bank Analysis, Mercantile Bank Valuation, Mercantile Bank Correlation, Mercantile Bank Hype Analysis, Mercantile Bank Volatility, Mercantile Bank Price History as well as Mercantile Bank Performance. To learn how to invest in Mercantile Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mercantile Bank guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Mercantile diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercantile Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Mercantile significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Mercantile Bank data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 5.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
Investors evaluate Mercantile Bank using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mercantile Bank's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mercantile Bank's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mercantile Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mercantile Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mercantile Bank's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.