Mercantile Bank Stock Technical Analysis
| MBWM Stock | USD 54.80 1.03 1.92% |
As of the 5th of February, Mercantile Bank secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1655, downside deviation of 1.28, and Mean Deviation of 1.21. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Mercantile Bank, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Mercantile Bank variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Mercantile Bank is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 54.8 per share. Given that Mercantile Bank has jensen alpha of 0.3017, we recommend you to check Mercantile Bank's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Mercantile Bank Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Mercantile, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MercantileMercantile | Build AI portfolio with Mercantile Stock |
Mercantile Bank Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 57.0 | Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most Mercantile analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Mercantile stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Mercantile Bank, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Mercantile conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Mercantile diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercantile Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Mercantile significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Mercantile Bank data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 5.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
Investors evaluate Mercantile Bank using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mercantile Bank's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mercantile Bank's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mercantile Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mercantile Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mercantile Bank's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Mercantile Bank 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mercantile Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mercantile Bank.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mercantile Bank on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mercantile Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mercantile Bank over 90 days. Mercantile Bank is related to or competes with Northeast Bancorp, Business First, CNB Financial, Amerant Bancorp, Hbt Financial, TrustCo Bank, and Metropolitan Bank. Mercantile Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Mercantile Bank of Michigan that provides commercia... More
Mercantile Bank Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mercantile Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mercantile Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.179 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.78 |
Mercantile Bank Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mercantile Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mercantile Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mercantile Bank historical prices to predict the future Mercantile Bank's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1655 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3017 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2308 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3609 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercantile Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mercantile Bank February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1655 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3709 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9829 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 460.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.179 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3017 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2308 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3609 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.966 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5403 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.63 |
Mercantile Bank Backtested Returns
Mercantile Bank appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mercantile Bank has Sharpe Ratio of 0.21, which conveys that the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mercantile Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Mercantile Bank's Mean Deviation of 1.21, risk adjusted performance of 0.1655, and Downside Deviation of 1.28 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Mercantile Bank holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.98, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Mercantile Bank returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mercantile Bank is expected to follow. Please check Mercantile Bank's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Mercantile Bank's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.75 |
Good predictability
Mercantile Bank has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mercantile Bank time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mercantile Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Mercantile Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.75 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.69 |
Mercantile Bank technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Mercantile Bank Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Mercantile Bank volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Mercantile Bank Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Mercantile Bank on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mercantile Bank based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Mercantile Bank price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Mercantile Bank. By analyzing Mercantile Bank's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Mercantile Bank's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Mercantile Bank specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0325 | 0.0313 | 0.0234 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.13 | 1.98 | 1.9 |
Mercantile Bank February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Mercantile help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercantile from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Mercantile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1655 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3709 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9829 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 460.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.179 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3017 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2308 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3609 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.966 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5403 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.63 |
Mercantile Bank February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercantile stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2,793 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.58 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 54.46 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 54.57 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.86 |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Mercantile Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in child. To learn how to invest in Mercantile Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mercantile Bank guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Mercantile diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercantile Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Mercantile significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Mercantile Bank data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 5.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
Investors evaluate Mercantile Bank using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mercantile Bank's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mercantile Bank's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mercantile Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mercantile Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mercantile Bank's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.