Mercantile Bank Stock Market Outlook

MBWM Stock  USD 54.03  0.58  1.06%   
About 59% of Mercantile Bank's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Mercantile Bank stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. Mercantile Bank's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Mercantile Bank. Many technical investors use Mercantile Bank stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.

Comfort Level 41

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Mercantile Bank's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Mercantile Bank.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mercantile Bank is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Mercantile Bank's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Execute Mercantile Bank Advice

The Mercantile recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mercantile Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mercantile Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mercantile Bank's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mercantile BankBuy Mercantile Bank
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mercantile Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1447, Jensen Alpha of 0.2144, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1072, Sortino Ratio of 0.1556 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3643
Our trade recommendations module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Mercantile Bank. Our trade recommendations engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Mercantile Bank is not overpriced, please verify all Mercantile Bank fundamentals, including its revenue, short ratio, five year return, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Mercantile Bank has a number of shares shorted of 179.26 K, we recommend you to check Mercantile Bank market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mercantile Bank Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mercantile Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Mercantile Bank has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 17th of December 2025 Mercantile Bank paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mercantile Bank Could Be a Great Choice

Mercantile Bank Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mercantile Bank's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mercantile Bank's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mercantile Bank daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mercantile Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mercantile Bank returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Mercantile Bank.
Mean Return
0.29
Value At Risk
-1.75
Potential Upside
3.78
Standard Deviation
1.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mercantile Bank historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mercantile Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Mercantile Bank, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercantile Bank back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
176.5 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2025-06-30
155.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
148 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
147.3 K
Proshare Advisors Llc2025-06-30
138.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
132.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
113.8 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
109.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
107.6 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
1.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
1.1 M
Note, although Mercantile Bank's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mercantile Bank Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash349.2M(878.4M)33.8M262.5M301.8M316.9M
Free Cash Flow59.0M116.8M59.9M92.6M106.5M111.8M
Depreciation13.7M12.9M11.5M10.5M12.1M12.7M
Other Non Cash Items486K17.9M(8.2M)7.6M6.8M10.8M
Capital Expenditures5.6M3.0M6.7M8.5M9.8M10.3M
Net Income59.0M61.1M82.2M79.6M91.5M96.1M
End Period Cash Flow975.2M96.8M130.5M393.0M452.0M474.6M
Dividends Paid18.5M19.6M21.0M22.5M25.8M27.1M
Investments(486.2M)(551.2M)(249.1M)(425.4M)(382.9M)(363.7M)
Change Receivables(48K)(917K)1.5M(6.2M)(5.5M)(5.3M)
Net Borrowings132.7M(54.2M)159.6M(80.8M)(93.0M)(88.3M)
Change To Netincome(2.4M)(5.0M)6.6M19.7M22.7M23.8M

Mercantile Bank Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercantile Bank or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercantile Bank's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercantile stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
1.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Mercantile Bank Volatility Alert

Mercantile Bank has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.63 and kurtosis of 1.99. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercantile Bank's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercantile Bank's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mercantile Bank Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mercantile Bank's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mercantile Bank's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mercantile Bank and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mercantile Bank or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mercantile Bank's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercantile Bank by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mercantile Bank to competition
FundamentalsMercantile BankPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0138-0.14
Profit Margin0.37 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.44 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding17.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions63.02 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted179.26 K4.71 M
Price To Earning11.94 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.29 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.93 X11.42 X
Revenue371.8 M9.43 B
Gross Profit238.45 M27.38 B
EBITDA106.5 M3.9 B
Net Income79.59 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents284.01 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share17.90 X5.01 X
Total Debt825.88 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.70 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share42.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations101.12 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.60 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.47 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.51 X4.89 X
Target Price57.0
Number Of Employees77018.84 K
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization938.26 M19.03 B
Total Asset6.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings399.45 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return3.38 %
Note: Acquisition by Sanchez Nelson F of 1007 shares of Mercantile Bank subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mercantile Bank Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercantile . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mercantile Bank Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mercantile Bank? Buying financial instruments such as Mercantile Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mercantile Bank in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Insurance Providers
Insurance Providers Theme
Companies providing all types of insurance and insurance services. The Insurance Providers theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Providers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Mercantile Bank is a strong investment it is important to analyze Mercantile Bank's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Mercantile Bank's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Mercantile Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Mercantile Bank Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Mercantile Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mercantile Bank guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Mercantile diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercantile Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Mercantile significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Mercantile Bank data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.157
Dividend Share
1.5
Earnings Share
5.47
Revenue Per Share
14.685
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
Investors evaluate Mercantile Bank using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mercantile Bank's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mercantile Bank's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mercantile Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mercantile Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mercantile Bank's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.