Optimumbank Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.88
| OPHC Stock | USD 4.92 0.04 0.81% |
OptimumBank |
OptimumBank Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 2.88
The tendency of OptimumBank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.88 or more in 90 days |
| 4.92 | 90 days | 2.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OptimumBank Holdings to drop to $ 2.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This OptimumBank Holdings probability density function shows the probability of OptimumBank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OptimumBank Holdings price to stay between $ 2.88 and its current price of $4.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days OptimumBank Holdings has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OptimumBank Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OptimumBank Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OptimumBank Holdings has an alpha of 0.1169, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OptimumBank Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OptimumBank Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OptimumBank Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OptimumBank Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OptimumBank Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OptimumBank Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OptimumBank Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OptimumBank Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
OptimumBank Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OptimumBank Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OptimumBank Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Fulton Financial OptimumBank Head-To-Head Analysis |
OptimumBank Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OptimumBank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OptimumBank Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OptimumBank Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.7 M |
OptimumBank Holdings Technical Analysis
OptimumBank Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OptimumBank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OptimumBank Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing OptimumBank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OptimumBank Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
OptimumBank Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many OptimumBank Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OptimumBank Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OptimumBank Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about OptimumBank Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OptimumBank Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Fulton Financial OptimumBank Head-To-Head Analysis |
Check out OptimumBank Holdings Backtesting, OptimumBank Holdings Valuation, OptimumBank Holdings Correlation, OptimumBank Holdings Hype Analysis, OptimumBank Holdings Volatility, OptimumBank Holdings History as well as OptimumBank Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade OptimumBank Stock refer to our How to Trade OptimumBank Stock guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OptimumBank Holdings. If investors know OptimumBank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OptimumBank Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.828 | Earnings Share 1.33 | Revenue Per Share 4.014 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.807 | Return On Assets 0.0141 |
The market value of OptimumBank Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OptimumBank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OptimumBank Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OptimumBank Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OptimumBank Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OptimumBank Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OptimumBank Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OptimumBank Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OptimumBank Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.