Sound Financial Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.07

SFBC Stock  USD 54.48  0.02  0.04%   
Sound Financial's future price is the expected price of Sound Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sound Financial Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sound Financial Backtesting, Sound Financial Valuation, Sound Financial Correlation, Sound Financial Hype Analysis, Sound Financial Volatility, Sound Financial History as well as Sound Financial Performance.
  
At present, Sound Financial's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 15.24, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.74. Please specify Sound Financial's target price for which you would like Sound Financial odds to be computed.

Sound Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 36.07

The tendency of Sound Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 36.07  in 90 days
 54.48 90 days 36.07 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sound Financial to stay above $ 36.07  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sound Financial Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Sound Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sound Financial Bancorp price to stay between $ 36.07  and its current price of $54.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sound Financial has a beta of 0.0097. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sound Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sound Financial Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sound Financial Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0059, implying that it can generate a 0.005922 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sound Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sound Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sound Financial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.9854.4855.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.4946.9959.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.8354.3255.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
53.1653.8354.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sound Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sound Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sound Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sound Financial Bancorp.

Sound Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sound Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sound Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sound Financial Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sound Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Sound Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sound Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sound Financial Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 26th of November 2024 Sound Financial paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sound Financial Bancorp Share Price Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Sound Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sound Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sound Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sound Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.7 M

Sound Financial Technical Analysis

Sound Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sound Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sound Financial Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sound Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sound Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Sound Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sound Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sound Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sound Financial Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sound Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sound Financial Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 26th of November 2024 Sound Financial paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Sound Financial Bancorp Share Price Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
When determining whether Sound Financial Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sound Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sound Financial Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sound Financial Bancorp Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sound Financial. If investors know Sound will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sound Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.52
Revenue Per Share
13.726
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0037
The market value of Sound Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sound that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sound Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sound Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sound Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sound Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sound Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sound Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sound Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.