Sound Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SFBC Stock | USD 43.90 0.08 0.18% |
Sound Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sound Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Sound Financial Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sound Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sound Financial's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sound Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.163 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Using Sound Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sound Financial Bancorp from the perspective of Sound Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Sound Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sound Financial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 43.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.62.Sound Financial Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sound Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sound. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sound can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sound Financial Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sound Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sound Financial.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sound Financial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 43.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.62. Sound Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 43.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sound Financial to cross-verify your projections. Sound Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sound price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sound using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sound charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sound Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sound Financial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 43.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sound Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sound Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sound Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sound Financial | Sound Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sound Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sound Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sound Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.12 and 44.68, respectively. We have considered Sound Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sound Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sound Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2267 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2138 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0048 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.615 |
Predictive Modules for Sound Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sound Financial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sound Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sound Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sound Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sound Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sound Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sound Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sound Financial's historical news coverage. Sound Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.12 and 44.68, respectively. We have considered Sound Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sound Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sound Financial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sound Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sound Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sound Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sound Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.90 | 43.90 | 0.00 |
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Sound Financial Hype Timeline
Sound Financial Bancorp is at this time traded for 43.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sound is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sound Financial is about 549.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.90. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sound Financial Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. The entity had 709:811 split on the 23rd of August 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sound Financial to cross-verify your projections.Sound Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sound Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sound Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Sound Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sound Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | (0.20) | 6 per month | 0.81 | 0.16 | 2.05 | (1.48) | 5.78 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.04 | 2.12 | (2.06) | 13.88 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | (0.1) | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.02 | 1.81 | (2.09) | 6.78 | |
| RBKB | Rhinebeck Bancorp | (0.19) | 5 per month | 1.12 | 0.12 | 3.65 | (2.18) | 9.17 | |
| RVSB | Riverview Bancorp | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.55 | (0.02) | 3.33 | (2.50) | 9.27 | |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdings | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.76 | 0 | 1.34 | (1.04) | 4.66 | |
| SBFG | SB Financial Group | (0.25) | 3 per month | 2.23 | 0.1 | 4.58 | (3.96) | 10.33 | |
| UNB | Union Bankshares | 0.12 | 7 per month | 2.02 | 0.03 | 2.71 | (3.21) | 11.80 | |
| FGBI | First Guaranty Bancshares | (0.18) | 10 per month | 4.71 | 0.03 | 5.38 | (7.07) | 21.15 | |
| PNBK | Patriot National Bancorp | (0.73) | 9 per month | 4.00 | 0.09 | 6.98 | (6.40) | 17.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sound Financial
For every potential investor in Sound, whether a beginner or expert, Sound Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sound Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sound. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sound Financial's price trends.Sound Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sound Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sound Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sound Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sound Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sound Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sound Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sound Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sound Financial Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sound Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sound Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sound Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sound stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5109 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7927 | |||
| Variance | 0.6283 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sound Financial
The number of cover stories for Sound Financial depends on current market conditions and Sound Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sound Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sound Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sound Financial Short Properties
Sound Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sound Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sound Financial Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sound Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sound Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 146.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sound Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Sound diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sound Financial. If investors know Sound will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sound Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.163 | Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share 3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Sound Financial Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Sound's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Sound Financial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Sound Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sound Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sound Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sound Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.