Arrow Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AROW Stock | USD 32.39 0.25 0.77% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arrow Financial is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Arrow Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Arrow Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Arrow Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Arrow Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Arrow Stock please use our How to Invest in Arrow Financial guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arrow and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Arrow Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Arrow |
Execute Arrow Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Arrow recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arrow Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arrow Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arrow Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Arrow Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| On 29th of October 2024 Arrow Financial paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: SPDR SP Dividend ETF Shares Sold by First National Trust Co |
Arrow Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arrow Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arrow Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arrow Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arrow Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arrow Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arrow Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -3.25 | Potential Upside | 3.73 | Standard Deviation | 2.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arrow Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arrow Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Arrow Financial, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arrow Financial back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 129.3 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-06-30 | 126.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 126 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 117.5 K | Rockefeller Capital Management L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 116.4 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 58.2 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 56.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 49.1 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 46.8 K | Arrow Financial Corp(junk) | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M |
Arrow Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (14.0M) | 310.8M | 76.7M | (393.0M) | (353.7M) | (336.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 36.2M | 37.2M | 61.1M | 45.5M | 52.3M | 30.1M | |
| Depreciation | 5.5M | 6.9M | 7.8M | 7.5M | 8.7M | 4.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.3M | (1.9M) | 9.8M | (160K) | 4.3M | 2.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.2M | 15.7M | 16.3M | 17.4M | 20.1M | 10.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.8M | 5.1M | 7.1M | 14.3M | 16.4M | 17.2M | |
| Net Income | 37.5M | 40.8M | 49.9M | 48.8M | 56.1M | 58.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70.2M | 381.0M | 457.7M | 64.7M | 74.4M | 78.6M | |
| Investments | (191.1M) | (177.6M) | (269.0M) | (60.1M) | (130.4M) | (136.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (122.6M) | (18.6M) | (17.5M) | 9.8M | 11.2M | 11.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.8M | (4.2M) | 11.3M | 3.9M | 4.5M | 3.3M |
Arrow Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arrow Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arrow Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arrow stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Arrow Financial Volatility Alert
Arrow Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.24 and kurtosis of 10.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arrow Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arrow Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Arrow Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arrow Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arrow Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arrow Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arrow Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arrow Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arrow Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arrow Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arrow Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0875 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0076 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 358.15 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.74 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 49.76 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 140.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.95 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 130.57 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 144.44 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 70.46 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 48.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 224.22 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 13.58 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 56.72 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.09 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 59.71 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.94 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 31.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 560 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 571.29 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.17 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 65.79 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.08 % |
Note: Acquisition by Dake Gary C of 708 shares of Arrow Financial at 27.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Arrow Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arrow . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Arrow Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arrow Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Arrow Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Arrow Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Books
Companies involved in publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals and other mass publications. The Books theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Books Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Arrow Stock Analysis
When running Arrow Financial's price analysis, check to measure Arrow Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrow Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Arrow Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrow Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrow Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrow Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.