Arrow Financial Stock Performance

AROW Stock  USD 32.82  0.13  0.40%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Arrow Financial holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.85, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Arrow Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arrow Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Arrow Financial's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to make a quick decision on whether Arrow Financial's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Arrow Financial are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Arrow Financial showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.46)
Five Day Return
1.21
Year To Date Return
4.44
Ten Year Return
60.56
All Time Return
4.7 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0355
Payout Ratio
0.4831
Last Split Factor
103:100
Forward Dividend Rate
1.16
Dividend Date
2025-11-24
1
Acquisition by Ivanov Penko Krassimir of 1617 shares of Arrow Financial at 29.82 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/04/2025
2
Arrow Announces Preliminary Approval of Settlement
11/05/2025
 
Arrow Financial dividend paid on 24th of November 2025
11/24/2025
3
Liquidity Mapping Around Price Events - news.stocktradersdaily.com
11/26/2025
4
Disposition of 2976 shares by Andrew Wise of Arrow Financial at 31.64 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
5
Acquisition by Morris Philip C of tradable shares of Arrow Financial at 31.97 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
6
Disposition of 150 shares by Oconor Raymond F of Arrow Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2025
7
Disposition of 1093 shares by Kruczlnicki David G of Arrow Financial at 27.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
8
Acquisition by David DeMarco of 3035 shares of Arrow Financial at 31.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
9
How Arrow Financial Corporation Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - Stock Traders Daily
12/29/2025
10
Will Arrow Financial Corporation stock benefit from infrastructure spending - July 2025 Action Fast Gaining Stock Reports - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
11
Arrow Financial Sees Strong Trading Volume Heres What Happened
01/15/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow142.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-89 M

Arrow Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,697  in Arrow Financial on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  572.00  from holding Arrow Financial or generate 21.21% return on investment over 90 days. Arrow Financial is currently generating 0.3296% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9662% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Arrow, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arrow Financial is expected to generate 2.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Arrow Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arrow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.82 90 days 32.82 
about 13.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrow Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.4 (This Arrow Financial probability density function shows the probability of Arrow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arrow Financial has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Arrow Financial market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Arrow Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Arrow Financial has an alpha of 0.2655, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arrow Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arrow Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrow Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.7632.7334.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4235.2737.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.3934.3636.33
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.4933.5037.19
Details

Arrow Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrow Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrow Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrow Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrow Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Arrow Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrow Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrow Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrow Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Arrow Financial Sees Strong Trading Volume Heres What Happened

Arrow Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrow Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrow Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments617.7 M

Arrow Financial Fundamentals Growth

Arrow Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arrow Financial, and Arrow Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arrow Stock performance.

About Arrow Financial Performance

Evaluating Arrow Financial's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Arrow Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arrow Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.09 

Things to note about Arrow Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrow Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrow Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arrow Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Arrow Financial Sees Strong Trading Volume Heres What Happened
Evaluating Arrow Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arrow Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Arrow Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arrow Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arrow Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arrow Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arrow Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arrow Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arrow Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arrow Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arrow Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Arrow Stock Analysis

When running Arrow Financial's price analysis, check to measure Arrow Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrow Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Arrow Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrow Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrow Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrow Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.