Arrow Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| AROW Stock | USD 35.65 0.40 1.11% |
As of the 9th of February, Arrow Financial shows the Mean Deviation of 1.41, risk adjusted performance of 0.1338, and Downside Deviation of 1.37. Arrow Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Arrow Financial standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Arrow Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 35.65 per share. Given that Arrow Financial has jensen alpha of 0.1904, we suggest you to validate Arrow Financial's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Arrow Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Arrow, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ArrowArrow Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Arrow Financial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 34.5 | Hold | 2 | Odds |
Most Arrow analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Arrow stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Arrow Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Arrow conference calls.
What growth prospects exist in Regional Banks sector? Can Arrow capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrow Financial. If investors know Arrow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Arrow Financial valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.179 | Dividend Share 1.14 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.37 |
Investors evaluate Arrow Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Arrow Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Arrow Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Arrow Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arrow Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Arrow Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Arrow Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arrow Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arrow Financial.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arrow Financial on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arrow Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arrow Financial over 90 days. Arrow Financial is related to or competes with Victory Bancorp, MF Bancorp, First Community, Andover Bancorp, Community Capital, Woodlands Financial, and HCB Financial. Arrow Financial Corporation, a bank holding company, provides commercial and consumer banking, and financial products an... More
Arrow Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arrow Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arrow Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1039 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.27 |
Arrow Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arrow Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arrow Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arrow Financial historical prices to predict the future Arrow Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1338 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1904 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0775 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1326 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2988 |
Arrow Financial February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1338 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3088 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 624.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1039 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1904 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0775 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1326 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2988 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2166 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0272 |
Arrow Financial Backtested Returns
Arrow Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Arrow Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Arrow Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Arrow Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1338, mean deviation of 1.41, and Downside Deviation of 1.37 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Arrow Financial holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.9, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Arrow Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Arrow Financial is expected to follow. Please check Arrow Financial's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Arrow Financial's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
Arrow Financial has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arrow Financial time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arrow Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Arrow Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.12 |
Arrow Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Arrow Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Arrow Financial across different markets.
About Arrow Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Arrow Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arrow Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Arrow Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Arrow Financial. By analyzing Arrow Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Arrow Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Arrow Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0378 | 0.0381 | 0.0363 | 0.056 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.48 | 2.15 | 2.14 | 2.23 |
Arrow Financial February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Arrow help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arrow from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Arrow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1338 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3088 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 624.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1039 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1904 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0775 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1326 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2988 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2166 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0272 |
Arrow Financial February 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arrow stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1,344 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.54) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 36.00 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 35.88 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.55) |
Additional Tools for Arrow Stock Analysis
When running Arrow Financial's price analysis, check to measure Arrow Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrow Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Arrow Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrow Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrow Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrow Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.