Selective Insurance (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SV2 Stock | EUR 87.00 1.50 1.69% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Selective Insurance Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Selective Insurance buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SV2 positions.
Check out Selective Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Selective and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Selective Insurance Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Selective |
Execute Selective Insurance Buy or Sell Advice
The Selective recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Selective Insurance Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Selective Insurance Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Selective Insurance's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Selective Insurance Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Selective Insurance Group has accumulated 500.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 29.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Selective Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Selective Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Selective Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Selective to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Selective Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors |
Selective Insurance Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Selective Insurance's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Selective Insurance's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Selective Insurance daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Selective Insurance Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Selective Insurance returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Selective Insurance.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -2.87 | Potential Upside | 2.76 | Standard Deviation | 1.72 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Selective Insurance historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Selective Insurance Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Selective Insurance or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Selective Insurance's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Selective stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Selective Insurance Volatility Alert
Selective Insurance Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.34 and kurtosis of 1.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Selective Insurance's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Selective Insurance's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Selective Insurance Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Selective Insurance's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Selective Insurance's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Selective Insurance and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Selective Insurance or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Selective Insurance's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Selective Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Selective Insurance to competition |
| Fundamentals | Selective Insurance | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0816 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0182 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.75 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 60.34 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 18.07 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.40 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.56 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 740.47 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 351.38 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 224.89 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 291.17 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.92 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 500.96 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 29.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 38.58 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 802.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.34 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 85.8 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.52 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.64 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.8 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 10.8 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 6.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 10.8 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.14 |
Selective Insurance Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Selective . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 87.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 87.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.75) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 36.8 |
About Selective Insurance Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Selective Insurance Group? Buying financial instruments such as Selective Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Selective Stock
When determining whether Selective Insurance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Selective Insurance's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Selective Insurance Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Selective Insurance Group Stock:Check out Selective Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.