Selective Insurance (Germany) Performance
| SV2 Stock | EUR 69.00 1.00 1.43% |
Selective Insurance has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.3, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Selective Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Selective Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Selective Insurance right now has a risk of 1.42%. Please validate Selective Insurance sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Selective Insurance will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Selective Insurance Group are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Selective Insurance may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 45.1 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 776.4 M |
Selective |
Selective Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,514 in Selective Insurance Group on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 386.00 from holding Selective Insurance Group or generate 5.93% return on investment over 90 days. Selective Insurance Group is currently producing 0.1059% returns and takes up 1.4224% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded stocks are less volatile than Selective, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Selective Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Selective Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 69.00 | 90 days | 69.00 | about 38.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Selective Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.08 (This Selective Insurance Group probability density function shows the probability of Selective Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Selective Insurance Group has a beta of -0.3. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Selective Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Selective Insurance Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Selective Insurance Group has an alpha of 0.0553, implying that it can generate a 0.0553 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Selective Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Selective Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Selective Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Selective Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Selective Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Selective Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Selective Insurance Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Selective Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Selective Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Selective Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Selective Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Selective Insurance Group has accumulated 500.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 29.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Selective Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Selective Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Selective Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Selective to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Selective Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors |
Selective Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Selective Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Selective Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Selective Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 76.1 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.12 | |
| Shares Float | 59.3 M |
Selective Insurance Fundamentals Growth
Selective Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Selective Insurance, and Selective Insurance fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Selective Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0816 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0182 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.75 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.34 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 18.07 X | |||
| Price To Book | 2.38 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.40 X | |||
| Revenue | 3.56 B | |||
| EBITDA | 351.38 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 291.17 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 4.92 X | |||
| Total Debt | 500.96 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 29.80 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 38.58 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 802.41 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.34 X | |||
| Total Asset | 10.8 B | |||
About Selective Insurance Performance
By analyzing Selective Insurance's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Selective Insurance's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Selective Insurance has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Selective Insurance has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products and services in the United States. Selective Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Branchville, New Jersey. SELECTIVE INS operates under Insurance - Property Casualty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 2290 people.Things to note about Selective Insurance performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Selective Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Selective Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Selective Insurance Group has accumulated 500.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 29.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Selective Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Selective Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Selective Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Selective to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Selective Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Selective Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Selective Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Selective Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Selective Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Selective Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Selective Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Selective Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Selective Stock analysis
When running Selective Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Selective Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Selective Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Selective Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Selective Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Selective Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Selective Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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