Union Pacific Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| UNP Stock | USD 229.65 1.72 0.74% |
Union Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Union Pacific's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Union Pacific's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Union Pacific fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Union Pacific's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.095 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.998 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.7235 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.4626 | Wall Street Target Price 263.2083 |
Using Union Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Union Pacific from the perspective of Union Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Union Pacific using Union Pacific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Union using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Union Pacific's stock price.
Union Pacific Short Interest
An investor who is long Union Pacific may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Union Pacific and may potentially protect profits, hedge Union Pacific with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 225.5625 | Short Percent 0.0419 | Short Ratio 8.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.3 M | 50 Day MA 230.511 |
Union Pacific Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Union Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Union. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Union can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Union Pacific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Union Pacific Implied Volatility | 0.2 |
Union Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Union Pacific stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Union Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Union Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Union Pacific's options are near their expiration.
Union Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 229.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Union Pacific to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Union contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Union Pacific will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0125% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Union Pacific trading at USD 229.65, that is roughly USD 0.0287 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Union Pacific's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Union Pacific options at the current volatility level of 0.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Union Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Union Pacific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Union Pacific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Union Pacific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Union Pacific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Union Pacific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Union Pacific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Union. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Union Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Union price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union using various technical indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 59638.49 | 0.0187 |
| Check Union Pacific Volatility | Backtest Union Pacific | Information Ratio |
Union Pacific Trading Date Momentum
| On January 25 2026 Union Pacific was traded for 229.65 at the closing time. Highest Union Pacific's price during the trading hours was 233.68 and the lowest price during the day was 229.31 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 25th of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.99% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Union Pacific to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Union Pacific
For every potential investor in Union, whether a beginner or expert, Union Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Union Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Union. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Union Pacific's price trends.Union Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Union Pacific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Union Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Union Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Union Pacific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Union Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Union Pacific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Union Pacific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0187 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 231.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 230.88 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.72) |
Union Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Union Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Union Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting union stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8982 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Union Pacific
The number of cover stories for Union Pacific depends on current market conditions and Union Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Union Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Union Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Union Pacific Short Properties
Union Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Union Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Union Pacific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Union Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 608.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Additional Tools for Union Stock Analysis
When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.