Valero Energy Stock Technical Analysis
| VLO Stock | USD 181.43 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 2nd of February, Valero Energy has the Coefficient Of Variation of 2300.26, semi deviation of 1.65, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.038. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Valero Energy, as well as the relationship between them.
Valero Energy Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Valero, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ValeroValero Energy's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Valero Energy Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 196.12 | Strong Buy | 21 | Odds |
Most Valero analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Valero stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Valero Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Valero conference calls.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Valero diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valero Energy. If investors know Valero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valero Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.196 | Dividend Share 4.52 | Earnings Share 7.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
The market value of Valero Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valero Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valero Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valero Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valero Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valero Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valero Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valero Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Valero Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Valero Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Valero Energy.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Valero Energy on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Valero Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Valero Energy over 90 days. Valero Energy is related to or competes with Phillips, Marathon Petroleum, TC Energy, MPLX LP, Eni SPA, Kinder Morgan, and Schlumberger. Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United... More
Valero Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Valero Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Valero Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.022 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.45 |
Valero Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Valero Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Valero Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Valero Energy historical prices to predict the future Valero Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.038 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0758 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0268 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5285 |
Valero Energy February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.038 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5385 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2300.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.022 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0758 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0268 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5285 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.71) | |||
| Skewness | 1.24 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.7 |
Valero Energy Backtested Returns
As of now, Valero Stock is very steady. Valero Energy owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0687, which indicates the firm had a 0.0687 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Valero Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Valero Energy's Semi Deviation of 1.65, coefficient of variation of 2300.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.038 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Valero Energy has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Valero Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Valero Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Valero Energy right now has a risk of 2.11%. Please validate Valero Energy value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Valero Energy will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.04 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Valero Energy has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Valero Energy time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Valero Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Valero Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.04 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.15 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 86.72 |
Valero Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Valero Energy Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Valero Energy volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Valero Energy Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Valero Energy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valero Energy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Valero Energy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Valero Energy. By analyzing Valero Energy's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Valero Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Valero Energy specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0316 | 0.0351 | 0.0278 | 0.0315 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.32 | 0.3 | 0.41 | 0.21 |
Valero Energy February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Valero help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valero from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Valero charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.038 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5385 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2300.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.022 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0758 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0268 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5285 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.71) | |||
| Skewness | 1.24 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.7 |
Valero Energy February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valero stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 180.54 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 180.83 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.90 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.25 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valero Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Valero diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valero Energy. If investors know Valero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valero Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.196 | Dividend Share 4.52 | Earnings Share 7.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
The market value of Valero Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valero Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valero Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valero Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valero Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valero Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valero Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valero Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.