ZTO Express Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index

ZTO Stock  USD 21.46  0.57  2.73%   
ZTO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although ZTO Express' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ZTO Express' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ZTO Express fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of ZTO Express' share price is below 20 . This usually means that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ZTO Express' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ZTO Express, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ZTO Express' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.069
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.9669
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.274
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.4303
Wall Street Target Price
23.848
Using ZTO Express hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ZTO Express from the perspective of ZTO Express response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ZTO Express using ZTO Express' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ZTO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ZTO Express' stock price.

ZTO Express Short Interest

An investor who is long ZTO Express may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ZTO Express and may potentially protect profits, hedge ZTO Express with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
19.0894
Short Percent
0.0354
Short Ratio
10.26
Shares Short Prior Month
18.3 M
50 Day MA
20.0372

ZTO Express Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ZTO Express' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ZTO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ZTO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ZTO Express. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ZTO Express' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ZTO Express.

ZTO Express Implied Volatility

    
  0.45  
ZTO Express' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ZTO Express stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ZTO Express' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ZTO Express stock will not fluctuate a lot when ZTO Express' options are near their expiration.

ZTO Express after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZTO Express to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.At this time, ZTO Express' Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of January 2026, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.55, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 358.95. . As of the 4th of January 2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 10.6 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 856.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 ZTO Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ZTO Express' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ZTO Express' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ZTO Express stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ZTO Express' open interest, investors have to compare it to ZTO Express' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ZTO Express is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ZTO. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

ZTO Express Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ZTO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ZTO using various technical indicators. When you analyze ZTO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
ZTO Express has current Relative Strength Index of 0.
Check ZTO Express VolatilityBacktest ZTO ExpressInformation Ratio  

ZTO Express Trading Date Momentum

On January 04 2026 ZTO Express was traded for  21.46  at the closing time. Highest ZTO Express's price during the trading hours was 21.50  and the lowest price during the day was  21.27 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 4th of January had no short-term effect on price fluctuation. The trading date delta to current price is 0.89% .
Compare ZTO Express to competition

Other Forecasting Options for ZTO Express

For every potential investor in ZTO, whether a beginner or expert, ZTO Express' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZTO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZTO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZTO Express' price trends.

ZTO Express Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZTO Express stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZTO Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZTO Express by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZTO Express Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ZTO Express' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ZTO Express' current price.

ZTO Express Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZTO Express stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZTO Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZTO Express stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ZTO Express entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZTO Express Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZTO Express' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZTO Express' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with ZTO Express

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ZTO Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ZTO Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with ZTO Stock

  0.84EXPD Expeditors InternationalPairCorr
  0.86FDX FedExPairCorr

Moving against ZTO Stock

  0.88HKPD Hong Kong PharmaPairCorr
  0.81000099 Citic Offshore HelicopterPairCorr
  0.81AIRT Air T IncPairCorr
  0.76GVH Globavend HoldingsPairCorr
  0.75603713 Milkyway Chemical SupplyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ZTO Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ZTO Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ZTO Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ZTO Express to buy it.
The correlation of ZTO Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ZTO Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ZTO Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ZTO Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZTO Express to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.069
Dividend Share
4.79
Earnings Share
1.54
Revenue Per Share
59.361
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.111
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.