Provident Financial Services Stock Performance
| PFS Stock | USD 22.14 0.08 0.36% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Provident Financial holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 1.05, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Provident Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Provident Financial is expected to follow. Please check Provident Financial's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Provident Financial's historical price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Financial Services are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, Provident Financial unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.36) | Five Day Return 4.53 | Year To Date Return 12.1 | Ten Year Return 14.01 | All Time Return 42.84 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0432 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.96 | Dividend Date 2026-02-27 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-13 |
1 | Disposition of 8261 shares by George Lista of Provident Financial at 18.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/06/2025 |
| Provident Financial dividend paid on 28th of November 2025 | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Current Report Provident Financial Services | 12/03/2025 |
3 | Provident Financial Upgraded at Zacks Research - MarketBeat | 12/31/2025 |
4 | Provident Bank Annual Economic Outlook Survey Business Owners Shift from Passive Optimism in 2025 to Active Investment in 2026 | 01/06/2026 |
5 | Dividend Stocks To Consider In January 2026 | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Provident Bank Employees Raise 80,000 for Local Nonprofit Organizations | 01/13/2026 |
7 | Analysts Set Provident Financial Services, Inc Target Price at 22.70 | 01/15/2026 |
8 | Provident Financial Expected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat | 01/20/2026 |
9 | Provident Financial Earnings Call Transcript | 01/26/2026 |
10 | Provident Financial Services Exceeds Q4 CY2025 Expectations | 01/27/2026 |
11 | Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Provident Financial Services Inc 2025 Q4 | 01/29/2026 |
Provident | Build AI portfolio with Provident Stock |
Provident Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,820 in Provident Financial Services on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 394.00 from holding Provident Financial Services or generate 21.65% return on investment over 90 days. Provident Financial Services is generating 0.3384% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.8539% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Provident, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Provident Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Provident Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 22.14 | 90 days | 22.14 | about 1.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Provident Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.36 (This Provident Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Provident Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 indicating Provident Financial Services market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Provident Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Provident Financial Services has an alpha of 0.2095, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Provident Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Provident Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Provident Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Provident Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Provident Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Provident Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Provident Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Provident Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Provident Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Provident Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Provident Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Provident Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Provident Financial Services Inc 2025 Q4 |
Provident Financial Fundamentals Growth
Provident Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Provident Financial, and Provident Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Provident Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0119 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.34 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.54 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.21 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 130.62 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 12.34 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.02 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.35 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.38 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 866.82 M | |||
| EBITDA | 408.16 M | |||
| Net Income | 291.16 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 381.36 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 5.13 X | |||
| Total Debt | 2.52 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.30 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.69 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 426.38 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.23 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 2.9 B | |||
| Total Asset | 24.98 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 1.15 B | |||
About Provident Financial Performance
Assessing Provident Financial's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Provident Financial's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Provident Financial is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.10 | 0.11 |
Things to note about Provident Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Provident Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Provident Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Provident Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Provident Financial Services Inc 2025 Q4 |
- Analyzing Provident Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Provident Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Provident Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Provident Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Provident Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Provident Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Provident Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis
When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.