Provident Financial Services Key Fundamental Indicators
| PFS Stock | USD 22.98 0.27 1.16% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Provident Financial holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1626, coefficient of variation of 516.91, and Semi Deviation of 0.9824. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Provident Financial, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Provident Financial variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Provident Financial is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 22.98 per share. Given that Provident Financial has jensen alpha of 0.2762, we recommend you to check out Provident Financial's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Provident Financial Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 6.3826 | Revenue |
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Provident Fundamental Market Drivers
| Forward Price Earnings | 9.6432 | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Provident Upcoming Events
| 25th of April 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 25th of July 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of March 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 23rd of January 2025 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Provident Return On Equity Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Provident Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Provident Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Return On Equity. Since Provident Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Provident Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Provident Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Provident introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Provident Financial. Anticipated expansion of Provident directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Provident Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.721 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 2.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.152 |
Investors evaluate Provident Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Provident Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Provident Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Provident Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Provident Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Provident Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Provident Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Provident Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Provident Financial.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Provident Financial on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Provident Financial Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in Provident Financial over 90 days. Provident Financial is related to or competes with Park National, First Financial, Western Alliance, Trustmark, Towne Bank, Banner, and Washington Federal. Provident Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Provident Bank that provides various banking... More
Provident Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Provident Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Provident Financial Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1489 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.51 |
Provident Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Provident Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Provident Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Provident Financial historical prices to predict the future Provident Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1626 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2762 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1828 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2028 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3731 |
Provident Financial February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1626 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3831 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9824 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 516.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1489 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2762 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1828 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2028 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3731 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.69) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.965 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) | |||
| Skewness | 1.22 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.76 |
Provident Financial Backtested Returns
Provident Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Provident Financial maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.25, which implies the firm had a 0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Provident Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Provident Financial's Semi Deviation of 0.9824, coefficient of variation of 516.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1626 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Provident Financial holds a performance score of 19. The company holds a Beta of 0.91, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Provident Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Provident Financial is expected to follow. Please check Provident Financial's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Provident Financial's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.64 |
Good predictability
Provident Financial Services has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Provident Financial time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Provident Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Provident Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.07 |
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
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Provident Total Stockholder Equity
Total Stockholder Equity |
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Based on the latest financial disclosure, Provident Financial Services has a Return On Equity of 0.1072. This is 92.61% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The return on equity for all United States stocks is 134.58% lower than that of the firm.
Provident Financial Fundamental Drivers Relationships
Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Provident Financial's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Provident Financial value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Provident Financial competition to find correlations between indicators driving Provident Financial's intrinsic value. More Info.Provident Financial Services is regarded fourth in return on equity category among its peers. It is rated below average in return on asset category among its peers reporting about 0.11 of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Provident Financial Services is roughly 9.01 . At this time, Provident Financial's Return On Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Provident Financial by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.Provident Return On Equity Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Provident Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Return On Equity to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Provident Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Provident Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Provident Financial is currently under evaluation in return on equity category among its peers.
Provident Financial ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Provident Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Provident Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Provident Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0119 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.34 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.54 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.34 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 130.62 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.53 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.64 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.02 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 12.34 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.07 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.50 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.38 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 866.82 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 408.16 M | ||||
| Net Income | 291.16 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 381.36 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.13 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.52 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.30 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.69 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 426.38 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 4.23 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.23 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.84 X | ||||
| Target Price | 25.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 1.75 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.85 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.04 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 24.98 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.15 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 4.16 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 24.98 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.96 |
About Provident Financial Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Provident Financial Services's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Provident Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Provident Financial Services based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Total Revenue | 1.4 B | 1.5 B | |
| Cost Of Revenue | 515.8 M | 541.6 M | |
| Stock Based Compensation To Revenue | 0.01 | 0.02 | |
| Sales General And Administrative To Revenue | 0.22 | 0.21 | |
| Revenue Per Share | 10.59 | 11.12 | |
| Ebit Per Revenue | 0.30 | 0.21 |
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Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis
When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.