Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| AMC Stock | USD 4.55 0.06 1.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.45) | Wall Street Target Price 4.18 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.11) |
Using AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings from the perspective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMC Entertainment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMC Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 4.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AMC |
AMC Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMC Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMC Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMC Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AMC Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMC Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMC Entertainment's historical news coverage. AMC Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.11 and 6.95, respectively. We have considered AMC Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMC Entertainment is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMC Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMC Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMC Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMC Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.42 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.55 | 4.53 | 0.44 |
|
AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November AMC Entertainment is traded for 4.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. AMC is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 144.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.75. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Entertainment has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.36. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2020. AMC Entertainment had 1:10 split on the 24th of August 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMC Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMC Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how AMC Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMC Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings | (0.53) | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.08 | 3.60 | (2.45) | 7.52 | |
| ROKU | Roku Inc | 2.75 | 8 per month | 4.07 | 0.03 | 5.67 | (4.28) | 29.20 | |
| NFLX | Netflix | 7.85 | 6 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 2.80 | (2.33) | 13.04 | |
| PARA | Paramount Global Class | (0.34) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.82 | (2.81) | 8.83 | |
| DIS | Walt Disney | 1.93 | 6 per month | 0.61 | 0.18 | 2.34 | (1.38) | 7.57 | |
| WBD | Warner Bros Discovery | 0.12 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.11 | 7.33 | (3.45) | 18.30 | |
| PARAA | Paramount Global Class | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.28 | (1.28) | 7.80 |
AMC Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AMC Entertainment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMC Entertainment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMC Entertainment Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMC Entertainment based on analysis of AMC Entertainment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMC Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMC Entertainment's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.31E-4 | 1.18E-4 | 1.12E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.82 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
Story Coverage note for AMC Entertainment
The number of cover stories for AMC Entertainment depends on current market conditions and AMC Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMC Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMC Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
AMC Entertainment Short Properties
AMC Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMC Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMC Entertainment Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 167.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 884.3 M |
Complementary Tools for AMC Stock analysis
When running AMC Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure AMC Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing |