Ames National Stock Price Prediction
| ATLO Stock | USD 17.43 0.19 1.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ames National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ames National from the perspective of Ames National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ames National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ames because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ames National after-hype prediction price | USD 17.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ames |
Ames National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ames National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ames National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ames National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ames National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ames National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ames National's historical news coverage. Ames National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.34 and 19.50, respectively. We have considered Ames National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ames National is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ames National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ames National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ames National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ames National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ames National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.43 | 17.42 | 0.06 |
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Ames National Hype Timeline
Ames National is presently traded for 17.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ames is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Ames National is about 5200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.43. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ames National last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 18th of July 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Ames National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ames National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ames National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ames National's future price movements. Getting to know how Ames National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ames National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Ames National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ames price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ames using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ames charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Ames National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ames National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ames National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ames National based on analysis of Ames National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ames National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ames National's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ames National
The number of cover stories for Ames National depends on current market conditions and Ames National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ames National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ames National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ames National Short Properties
Ames National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ames National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ames National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ames National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ames National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800.4 M |
Check out Ames National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Ames Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ames National guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ames National. If investors know Ames will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ames National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ames National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ames that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ames National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ames National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ames National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ames National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ames National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ames National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ames National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.