Auburn National Bancorporation Stock Price Prediction
| AUBN Stock | USD 22.47 0.48 2.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
Using Auburn National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Auburn National Bancorporation from the perspective of Auburn National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Auburn National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Auburn because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Auburn National after-hype prediction price | USD 22.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Auburn |
Auburn National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Auburn National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Auburn National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Auburn National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Auburn National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Auburn National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Auburn National's historical news coverage. Auburn National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.47 and 24.27, respectively. We have considered Auburn National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Auburn National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Auburn National Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Auburn National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Auburn National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Auburn National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Auburn National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.90 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.47 | 22.37 | 0.45 |
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Auburn National Hype Timeline
Auburn National Banc is presently traded for 22.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Auburn is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Auburn National is about 2187.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.45. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Auburn National Banc last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 26th of June 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Auburn National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Auburn National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Auburn National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Auburn National's future price movements. Getting to know how Auburn National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Auburn National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Auburn National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Auburn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Auburn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Auburn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Auburn National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Auburn National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Auburn National Bancorporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Auburn National based on analysis of Auburn National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Auburn National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Auburn National's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0461 | 0.0507 | 0.0457 | 0.0243 | Price To Sales Ratio | 24.97 | 3.19 | 2.87 | 3.61 |
Story Coverage note for Auburn National
The number of cover stories for Auburn National depends on current market conditions and Auburn National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Auburn National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Auburn National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Auburn National Short Properties
Auburn National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Auburn National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Auburn National Bancorporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Auburn National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auburn National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 310.9 M |
Check out Auburn National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Auburn National. If investors know Auburn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Auburn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of Auburn National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Auburn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Auburn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Auburn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Auburn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Auburn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Auburn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Auburn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Auburn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.