Credit Acceptance Stock Price Prediction
| CACC Stock | USD 473.10 13.08 2.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.169 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 9.26 | EPS Estimate Current Year 31.1275 | EPS Estimate Next Year 36.6025 | Wall Street Target Price 426.5 |
Using Credit Acceptance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Credit Acceptance from the perspective of Credit Acceptance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Credit Acceptance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Credit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Credit Acceptance after-hype prediction price | USD 473.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Credit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Credit Acceptance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Credit Acceptance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Credit Acceptance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Credit Acceptance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Credit Acceptance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Credit Acceptance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Credit Acceptance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Credit Acceptance's historical news coverage. Credit Acceptance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 471.21 and 475.17, respectively. We have considered Credit Acceptance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Credit Acceptance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Credit Acceptance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Credit Acceptance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Credit Acceptance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Credit Acceptance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Credit Acceptance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.98 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
473.10 | 473.19 | 0.02 |
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Credit Acceptance Hype Timeline
Credit Acceptance is currently traded for 473.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Credit is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 473.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 20.86%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Credit Acceptance is about 159.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 473.11. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.9 B. Net Income was 286.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.14 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Credit Acceptance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Credit Acceptance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Credit Acceptance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Credit Acceptance's future price movements. Getting to know how Credit Acceptance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Credit Acceptance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WRLD | World Acceptance | (0.18) | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.0003 | 3.37 | (3.22) | 13.63 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | (3.94) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.31 | (2.42) | 9.46 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | (4.39) | 12 per month | 0.91 | 0.13 | 3.10 | (2.03) | 14.67 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.73) | 9 per month | 1.53 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (2.42) | 9.26 | |
| CRVL | CorVel Corp | 15.45 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.08 | 3.26 | (2.23) | 13.45 |
Credit Acceptance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Credit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Credit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Credit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Credit Acceptance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Credit Acceptance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Credit Acceptance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Credit Acceptance based on analysis of Credit Acceptance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Credit Acceptance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Credit Acceptance's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 1.3K | 1.9K | 1.7K | PTB Ratio | 6.06 | 3.96 | 3.93 |
Story Coverage note for Credit Acceptance
The number of cover stories for Credit Acceptance depends on current market conditions and Credit Acceptance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Credit Acceptance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Credit Acceptance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Credit Acceptance Short Properties
Credit Acceptance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Credit Acceptance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Credit Acceptance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Credit Acceptance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Credit Acceptance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Credit Stock analysis
When running Credit Acceptance's price analysis, check to measure Credit Acceptance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credit Acceptance is operating at the current time. Most of Credit Acceptance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credit Acceptance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credit Acceptance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credit Acceptance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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