Esquire Financial Holdings Stock Price Prediction

ESQ Stock  USD 108.50  0.50  0.46%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Esquire Financial's share price is at 51 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Esquire Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Esquire Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Esquire Financial Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Esquire Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.136
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5167
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.395
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.91
Wall Street Target Price
119.5
Using Esquire Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Esquire Financial Holdings from the perspective of Esquire Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Esquire Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Esquire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Esquire Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 108.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Esquire Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Esquire Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.65112.33113.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
109.36111.03112.69
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
108.75119.50132.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.531.631.63
Details

Esquire Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Esquire Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Esquire Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Esquire Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Esquire Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Esquire Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Esquire Financial's historical news coverage. Esquire Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.97 and 110.29, respectively. We have considered Esquire Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
108.50
106.97
Downside
108.63
After-hype Price
110.29
Upside
Esquire Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Esquire Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Esquire Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Esquire Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Esquire Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Esquire Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.66
  0.13 
  0.05 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
108.50
108.63
0.12 
286.21  
Notes

Esquire Financial Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January Esquire Financial is traded for 108.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Esquire is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 108.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Esquire Financial is about 731.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 108.55. The company reported the last year's revenue of 164.5 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 43.66 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 136.89 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Esquire Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Esquire Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Esquire Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Esquire Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Esquire Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Esquire Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HAFCHanmi Financial 0.38 3 per month 0.96  0.1  3.23 (1.92) 12.14 
AMALAmalgamated Bank(0.16)8 per month 1.07  0.24  3.60 (2.09) 8.06 
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial(0.19)19 per month 1.44  0.05  2.80 (2.44) 8.42 
SBSISouthside Bancshares 0.43 9 per month 0.91  0.12  2.73 (1.57) 5.24 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.18 6 per month 1.54  0.08  4.71 (3.38) 12.70 
MOFGMidWestOne Financial Group 0.35 10 per month 1.11  0.15  3.39 (2.70) 43.86 
CPFCentral Pacific Financial 0.38 10 per month 1.73  0.05  2.86 (2.19) 9.76 
FSBCFive Star Bancorp 0.38 13 per month 1.38  0.06  3.59 (2.50) 10.05 
DCOMDime Community Bancshares 0.38 7 per month 1.86  0.07  3.51 (3.10) 10.13 
FMBHFirst Mid Illinois 0.14 9 per month 1.20  0.09  3.31 (2.58) 9.25 

Esquire Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Esquire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Esquire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Esquire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Esquire Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Esquire Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Esquire Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Esquire Financial based on analysis of Esquire Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Esquire Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Esquire Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0096470.0077970.0070170.006386
Price To Sales Ratio3.174.55.174.49

Pair Trading with Esquire Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Esquire Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Esquire Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Esquire Stock

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  0.73HFBL Home Federal Bancorp Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
  0.79IROQ IF BancorpPairCorr
  0.73NSTS NSTS BancorpPairCorr

Moving against Esquire Stock

  0.84NIO Nio Class APairCorr
  0.77GRAB Grab Holdings Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.56NVDA NVIDIAPairCorr
  0.56GRLF Green Leaf InnovationsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Esquire Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Esquire Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Esquire Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Esquire Financial Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Esquire Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Esquire Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Esquire Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Esquire Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Esquire Stock Analysis

When running Esquire Financial's price analysis, check to measure Esquire Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esquire Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Esquire Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esquire Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esquire Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esquire Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.