Fuelcell Energy Stock Price Prediction
| FCEL Stock | USD 10.44 2.16 26.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
28
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (7.49) | EPS Estimate Next Year (4.69) | Wall Street Target Price 29.5834 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using FuelCell Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FuelCell Energy from the perspective of FuelCell Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
FuelCell Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FuelCell Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FuelCell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FuelCell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FuelCell Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FuelCell Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FuelCell Energy.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FuelCell Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FuelCell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FuelCell Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 8.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FuelCell |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FuelCell Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FuelCell Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FuelCell Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FuelCell Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FuelCell Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FuelCell Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FuelCell Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FuelCell Energy's historical news coverage. FuelCell Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.95 and 15.69, respectively. We have considered FuelCell Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FuelCell Energy is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FuelCell Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
FuelCell Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FuelCell Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FuelCell Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FuelCell Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 7.37 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.44 | 8.32 | 0.48 |
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FuelCell Energy Hype Timeline
FuelCell Energy is currently traded for 10.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. FuelCell is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on FuelCell Energy is about 8879.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.47. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 123.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (108.06 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.16 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out FuelCell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FuelCell Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FuelCell Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FuelCell Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how FuelCell Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FuelCell Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BE | Bloom Energy Corp | 1.35 | 5 per month | 2.91 | 0.17 | 7.90 | (4.95) | 62.65 | |
| MVST | Microvast Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 5.56 | 0.1 | 13.56 | (10.71) | 358.33 | |
| SLDP | Solid Power | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.60 | (6.19) | 19.18 | |
| ENVX | Enovix Corp | (0.46) | 8 per month | 5.45 | (0.02) | 9.59 | (8.14) | 34.07 | |
| PLUG | Plug Power | (0.13) | 6 per month | 5.62 | (0.02) | 9.80 | (6.91) | 41.92 | |
| FREY | FREYR Battery SA | 0.45 | 5 per month | 4.67 | 0.13 | 13.17 | (8.70) | 79.43 | |
| POLA | Polar Power | (0.34) | 3 per month | 5.44 | 0.04 | 12.77 | (9.34) | 45.49 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.14 | (10.00) | 55.58 | |
| PPSI | Pioneer Power Solutions | 0.14 | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.13 | 8.48 | (4.82) | 23.15 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | (0.20) | 10 per month | 5.11 | 0.04 | 10.09 | (7.87) | 46.30 |
FuelCell Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FuelCell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FuelCell using various technical indicators. When you analyze FuelCell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FuelCell Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FuelCell Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FuelCell Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FuelCell Energy based on analysis of FuelCell Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FuelCell Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FuelCell Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 8.9E-5 | 2.33E-4 | 2.1E-4 | 1.99E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 274.84 | 111.24 | 100.11 | 189.26 |
Story Coverage note for FuelCell Energy
The number of cover stories for FuelCell Energy depends on current market conditions and FuelCell Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FuelCell Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FuelCell Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FuelCell Energy Short Properties
FuelCell Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when FuelCell Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FuelCell Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FuelCell Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FuelCell Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 419.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.7 M |
Check out FuelCell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy FuelCell Stock please use our How to buy in FuelCell Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FuelCell Energy. If investors know FuelCell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FuelCell Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (7.80) | Revenue Per Share 5.504 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets (0.10) | Return On Equity (0.19) |
The market value of FuelCell Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FuelCell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FuelCell Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FuelCell Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FuelCell Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FuelCell Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FuelCell Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FuelCell Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FuelCell Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.