Grupo Financiero Galicia Stock Price Prediction

GGAL Stock  USD 54.39  0.65  1.21%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Grupo Financiero's share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grupo Financiero, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grupo Financiero's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grupo Financiero and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grupo Financiero's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grupo Financiero Galicia, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Grupo Financiero's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8884
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.5463
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.2154
Wall Street Target Price
70.5493
Using Grupo Financiero hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Financiero Galicia from the perspective of Grupo Financiero response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grupo Financiero using Grupo Financiero's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grupo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grupo Financiero's stock price.

Grupo Financiero Short Interest

An investor who is long Grupo Financiero may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Grupo Financiero and may potentially protect profits, hedge Grupo Financiero with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
49.1858
Short Percent
0.2203
Short Ratio
5.76
Shares Short Prior Month
6.1 M
50 Day MA
52.2124

Grupo Financiero Galicia Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Grupo Financiero's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Grupo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Grupo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Grupo Financiero Galicia. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Grupo Financiero's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Grupo Financiero.

Grupo Financiero Implied Volatility

    
  0.8  
Grupo Financiero's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grupo Financiero Galicia stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grupo Financiero's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grupo Financiero stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grupo Financiero's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grupo Financiero to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grupo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Grupo Financiero after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 54.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grupo contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grupo Financiero Galicia will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Grupo Financiero trading at USD 54.39, that is roughly USD 0.0272 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grupo Financiero's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grupo Financiero Galicia options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Grupo Financiero Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.9567.0170.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.9656.0459.13
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
64.2070.5578.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.871.301.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grupo Financiero. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grupo Financiero's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grupo Financiero's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grupo Financiero Galicia.

Grupo Financiero After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grupo Financiero at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Financiero or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grupo Financiero, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Grupo Financiero Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grupo Financiero's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Financiero's historical news coverage. Grupo Financiero's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.33 and 57.49, respectively. We have considered Grupo Financiero's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
54.39
54.41
After-hype Price
57.49
Upside
Grupo Financiero is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Financiero Galicia is based on 3 months time horizon.

Grupo Financiero Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Financiero is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Financiero backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Financiero, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
3.08
  0.02 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
54.39
54.41
0.04 
570.37  
Notes

Grupo Financiero Hype Timeline

Grupo Financiero Galicia is currently traded for 54.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Grupo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 54.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Financiero is about 930.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.40. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.63 T. Net Income was 747.07 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.78 T. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Grupo Financiero Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Grupo Financiero Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Financiero's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Financiero's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Financiero's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Financiero may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WBSWebster Financial(1.21)11 per month 1.08  0.11  2.80 (1.77) 7.21 
FHNFirst Horizon National 0.17 8 per month 1.05  0.12  2.71 (1.77) 7.47 
CMAComerica Incorporated 0.46 7 per month 0.91  0.16  2.60 (1.37) 9.13 
SSBSouthState(0.20)34 per month 1.13  0.01  2.93 (1.54) 5.16 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation 1.27 6 per month 1.65  0.09  3.88 (2.96) 10.08 
WTFCWintrust Financial 1.32 6 per month 1.27  0.08  2.62 (1.89) 8.80 
CFGCitizens Financial Group(0.18)7 per month 0.88  0.16  2.80 (1.80) 9.61 
UMBFUMB Financial 0.89 26 per month 1.11  0.05  3.61 (1.53) 6.43 
ONBOld National Bancorp 0.46 8 per month 1.19  0.09  2.93 (1.98) 6.92 

Grupo Financiero Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Grupo Financiero Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Grupo Financiero stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grupo Financiero Galicia, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grupo Financiero based on analysis of Grupo Financiero hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grupo Financiero's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grupo Financiero's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0730.05620.05050.026
Price To Sales Ratio0.181.031.190.69

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When determining whether Grupo Financiero Galicia is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Financiero's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Financiero's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Grupo Financiero Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grupo Financiero. If investors know Grupo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grupo Financiero listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Earnings Share
6.53
Revenue Per Share
3.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
0.0232
The market value of Grupo Financiero Galicia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grupo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grupo Financiero's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grupo Financiero's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grupo Financiero's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grupo Financiero's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Financiero's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Financiero is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Financiero's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.