Investar Holding Corp Stock Price Patterns
| ISTR Stock | USD 30.16 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.475 | Wall Street Target Price 33.25 |
Using Investar Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Investar Holding Corp from the perspective of Investar Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Investar Holding Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Investar Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Investar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Investar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Investar Holding Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Investar Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Investar Holding.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Investar Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Investar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Investar Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 29.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Investar Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investar Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Investar Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Investar Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Investar Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Investar Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Investar Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Investar Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Investar Holding's historical news coverage. Investar Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.43 and 30.97, respectively. We have considered Investar Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Investar Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Investar Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Investar Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Investar Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Investar Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Investar Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.27 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.16 | 29.70 | 0.64 |
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Investar Holding Hype Timeline
Investar Holding Corp is currently traded for 30.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Investar is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Investar Holding is about 1270.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 153.49 M. Net Income was 20.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.63 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Investar Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Investar Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Investar Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Investar Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Investar Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Investar Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FUNC | First United | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.09 | 3.21 | (1.89) | 11.47 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.71 | 0.18 | 2.88 | (1.49) | 6.23 | |
| LCNB | LCNB Corporation | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 2.81 | (2.13) | 8.02 | |
| FVCB | FVCBankcorp | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.60 | 0.23 | 2.56 | (1.40) | 9.86 | |
| CFFI | CF Financial | 1.20 | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.11 | 3.65 | (2.75) | 8.22 | |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares | 0.53 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.03 | 3.27 | (2.27) | 8.40 | |
| BPRN | Bank Of Princeton | (0.80) | 8 per month | 1.41 | 0.12 | 3.51 | (2.68) | 9.94 | |
| WNEB | Western New England | 0.17 | 5 per month | 0.90 | 0.19 | 3.24 | (2.14) | 7.72 | |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial | 0.34 | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.08 | 2.88 | (1.96) | 9.58 | |
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.00 | 0.10 | 4.15 | (4.01) | 12.58 |
Investar Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Investar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Investar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Investar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Investar Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Investar Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Investar Holding Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Investar Holding based on analysis of Investar Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Investar Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Investar Holding's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0261 | 0.0184 | 0.0169 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.04 | 1.38 | 3.1 |
Pair Trading with Investar Holding
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Investar Holding position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Investar Holding will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Investar Stock
| 0.88 | BIRG | Bank of Ireland | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | AX | Axos Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | FFIN | First Financial Bank Normal Trading | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | ASB | Associated Banc Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Investar Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Investar Holding could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Investar Holding when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Investar Holding - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Investar Holding Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Investar Holding is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Investar Holding moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Investar Holding Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Investar Holding can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Investar Stock Analysis
When running Investar Holding's price analysis, check to measure Investar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Investar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.