Investar Holding Corp Stock Price Prediction
| ISTR Stock | USD 23.39 0.10 0.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.929 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.36 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.635 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.915 | Wall Street Target Price 25.25 |
Using Investar Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Investar Holding Corp from the perspective of Investar Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Investar Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Investar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Investar Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 23.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Investar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investar Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Investar Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Investar Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Investar Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Investar Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Investar Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Investar Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Investar Holding's historical news coverage. Investar Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.26 and 25.90, respectively. We have considered Investar Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Investar Holding is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Investar Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Investar Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Investar Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Investar Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Investar Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.32 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.39 | 23.58 | 0.81 |
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Investar Holding Hype Timeline
Investar Holding Corp is currently traded for 23.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Investar is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.81%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Investar Holding is about 2372.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.35. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 82.38 M. Net Income was 16.68 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.83 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Investar Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Investar Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Investar Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Investar Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Investar Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Investar Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.1 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.12 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.55 | 0.02 | 1.63 | (1.22) | 3.88 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 2.40 | (0.01) | 3.82 | (4.31) | 21.70 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.09) | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.03 | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0 | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.00 | (2.14) | 6.16 |
Investar Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Investar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Investar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Investar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Investar Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Investar Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Investar Holding Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Investar Holding based on analysis of Investar Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Investar Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Investar Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0161 | 0.0164 | 0.0262 | 0.0275 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.99 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 1.69 |
Story Coverage note for Investar Holding
The number of cover stories for Investar Holding depends on current market conditions and Investar Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Investar Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Investar Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Investar Holding Short Properties
Investar Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Investar Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Investar Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Investar Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investar Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 390.2 M |
Additional Tools for Investar Stock Analysis
When running Investar Holding's price analysis, check to measure Investar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Investar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.