Investar Holding Stock Forward View
| ISTR Stock | USD 28.45 0.24 0.85% |
Investar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Investar Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Investar Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Investar Holding fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Investar Holding's stock price is slightly above 65. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Investar, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4433 | Wall Street Target Price 33 |
Using Investar Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Investar Holding Corp from the perspective of Investar Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Investar Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Investar Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.02.Investar Holding Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Investar Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Investar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Investar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Investar Holding Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Investar Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Investar Holding.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Investar Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.02. Investar Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 28.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Investar Holding to cross-verify your projections. Investar Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Investar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Investar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Investar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Investar Holding Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Investar Holding's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 35.4 M | Current Value 26.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 59.1 M |
Investar Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Investar Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Investar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Investar Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Investar Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Investar Holding | Investar Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Investar Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Investar Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Investar Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.72 and 30.19, respectively. We have considered Investar Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Investar Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Investar Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2218 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3282 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.0212 |
Predictive Modules for Investar Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investar Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investar Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Investar Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Investar Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Investar Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Investar Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Investar Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Investar Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Investar Holding's historical news coverage. Investar Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.21 and 29.69, respectively. We have considered Investar Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Investar Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Investar Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Investar Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Investar Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Investar Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Investar Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.23 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.45 | 28.45 | 0.00 |
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Investar Holding Hype Timeline
Investar Holding Corp is currently traded for 28.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Investar is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Investar Holding is about 2733.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.44. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Investar Holding Corp last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Investar Holding to cross-verify your projections.Investar Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Investar Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Investar Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Investar Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Investar Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FUNC | First United | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.79 | 0.03 | 2.92 | (2.74) | 11.47 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | (0.40) | 9 per month | 0.80 | 0.13 | 2.88 | (1.49) | 6.25 | |
| LCNB | LCNB Corporation | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.32 | 0.1 | 2.81 | (2.13) | 8.02 | |
| FVCB | FVCBankcorp | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.16 | 2.70 | (1.67) | 9.86 | |
| CFFI | CF Financial | 0.33 | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.07 | 3.53 | (2.75) | 8.22 | |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.49 | 0.02 | 3.27 | (2.28) | 8.40 | |
| BPRN | Bank Of Princeton | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.31 | 0.14 | 3.27 | (2.68) | 9.93 | |
| WNEB | Western New England | (0.04) | 24 per month | 0.97 | 0.17 | 3.24 | (2.14) | 7.72 | |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial | 0.34 | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.08 | 2.88 | (1.96) | 9.58 | |
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares | (0.44) | 8 per month | 1.98 | 0.10 | 4.15 | (4.01) | 12.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Investar Holding
For every potential investor in Investar, whether a beginner or expert, Investar Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Investar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Investar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Investar Holding's price trends.Investar Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Investar Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Investar Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Investar Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Investar Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Investar Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Investar Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Investar Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Investar Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Investar Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Investar Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Investar Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting investar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9595 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7205 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5191 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Investar Holding
The number of cover stories for Investar Holding depends on current market conditions and Investar Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Investar Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Investar Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Investar Stock Analysis
When running Investar Holding's price analysis, check to measure Investar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Investar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.