Origin Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| OBK Stock | 40.86 1.32 3.13% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Origin Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Bancorp from the perspective of Origin Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Origin Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Origin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Origin Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 40.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Origin Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.Origin Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Origin Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Origin Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Origin Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Origin Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Origin Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Origin Bancorp's historical news coverage. Origin Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.38 and 42.34, respectively. We have considered Origin Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Origin Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Origin Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Origin Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Origin Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Origin Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.48 | 0.26 | 0.12 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.86 | 40.86 | 0.00 |
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Origin Bancorp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Origin Bancorp is traded for 40.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Origin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 168.18%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Origin Bancorp is about 365.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.74. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The entity had 1:3 split on the 23rd of July 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Origin Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.Origin Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Origin Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Origin Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Origin Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Origin Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp | 0.06 | 2 per month | 1.89 | (0.03) | 3.55 | (2.24) | 11.35 | |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | (0.45) | 10 per month | 1.16 | 0.06 | 3.16 | (2.17) | 6.51 | |
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.41 | (0.01) | 3.24 | (2.43) | 7.26 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | (3.64) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.05 | 3.40 | (2.64) | 8.68 | |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.12 | 3.51 | (2.56) | 11.73 | |
| TMP | Tompkins Financial | (0.99) | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.1 | 3.68 | (2.40) | 8.74 | |
| OSBC | Old Second Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.03 | 3.08 | (1.66) | 11.80 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | (0.48) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.57 | (2.14) | 12.08 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.60 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.1 | 3.61 | (1.83) | 6.62 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.49 | 17 per month | 1.45 | 0.08 | 2.92 | (2.35) | 10.21 |
Origin Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Origin Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Origin Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Origin Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Bancorp based on analysis of Origin Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Origin Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Origin Bancorp's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Origin Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Origin Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.