Origin Bancorp Stock Technical Analysis
| OBK Stock | 40.86 1.32 3.13% |
As of the 23rd of January, Origin Bancorp holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 384.43, risk adjusted performance of 0.1973, and Semi Deviation of 0.8824. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Bancorp, as well as the relationship between them.
Origin Bancorp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Origin, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to OriginOrigin Bancorp's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Origin Bancorp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 43.4 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most Origin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Origin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Origin Bancorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Origin conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
The market value of Origin Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Origin Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Origin Bancorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Origin Bancorp.
| 10/25/2025 |
| 01/23/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Origin Bancorp on October 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Origin Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Origin Bancorp over 90 days. Origin Bancorp is related to or competes with OceanFirst Financial, Peoples Bancorp, Republic Bancorp, Bank First, Dime Community, Tompkins Financial, and Old Second. Origin Bancorp is entity of United States More
Origin Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Origin Bancorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Origin Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1921 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.92 |
Origin Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Origin Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Origin Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Origin Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1973 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2899 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1931 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2202 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3721 |
Origin Bancorp January 23, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1973 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3821 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8824 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 384.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1921 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2899 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1931 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2202 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3721 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7787 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3275 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.92 |
Origin Bancorp Backtested Returns
Origin Bancorp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Origin Bancorp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.25, which implies the firm had a 0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Origin Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Origin Bancorp's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1973, semi deviation of 0.8824, and Coefficient Of Variation of 384.43 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Origin Bancorp holds a performance score of 19. The company holds a Beta of 1.04, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Origin Bancorp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Origin Bancorp is expected to follow. Please check Origin Bancorp's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Origin Bancorp's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.81 |
Very good predictability
Origin Bancorp has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Origin Bancorp time series from 25th of October 2025 to 9th of December 2025 and 9th of December 2025 to 23rd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Origin Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Origin Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.23 |
Origin Bancorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Origin Bancorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Origin Bancorp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Origin Bancorp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Origin Bancorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Bancorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Origin Bancorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Origin Bancorp. By analyzing Origin Bancorp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Origin Bancorp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0163 | 0.0169 | 0.0181 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.59 | 1.9 | 1.68 |
Origin Bancorp January 23, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Origin help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1973 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3821 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8824 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 384.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1921 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2899 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1931 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2202 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3721 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7787 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3275 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.92 |
Origin Bancorp January 23, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 41.52 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 41.30 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.32) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.32 |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
The market value of Origin Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.