Peloton Interactive Stock Price Patterns
| PTON Stock | USD 5.56 0.28 4.79% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1472 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1962 | Wall Street Target Price 10.4281 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0029 |
Using Peloton Interactive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peloton Interactive from the perspective of Peloton Interactive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Peloton Interactive using Peloton Interactive's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Peloton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Peloton Interactive's stock price.
Peloton Interactive Short Interest
An investor who is long Peloton Interactive may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Peloton Interactive and may potentially protect profits, hedge Peloton Interactive with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.9897 | Short Percent 0.1624 | Short Ratio 7.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 66.1 M | 50 Day MA 6.463 |
Peloton Interactive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Peloton Interactive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Peloton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Peloton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Peloton Interactive. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Peloton Interactive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Peloton Interactive.
Peloton Interactive Implied Volatility | 0.99 |
Peloton Interactive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Peloton Interactive stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Peloton Interactive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Peloton Interactive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Peloton Interactive's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Peloton Interactive to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Peloton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Peloton Interactive after-hype prediction price | USD 5.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Peloton contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Peloton Interactive will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Peloton Interactive trading at USD 5.56, that is roughly USD 0.00344 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Peloton Interactive's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Peloton Interactive options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Peloton Interactive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Peloton Interactive After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Peloton Interactive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peloton Interactive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peloton Interactive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Peloton Interactive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Peloton Interactive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peloton Interactive's historical news coverage. Peloton Interactive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.22 and 9.18, respectively. We have considered Peloton Interactive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Peloton Interactive is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peloton Interactive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Peloton Interactive Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peloton Interactive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peloton Interactive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peloton Interactive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.48 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.56 | 5.70 | 2.52 |
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Peloton Interactive Hype Timeline
Peloton Interactive is at this time traded for 5.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Peloton is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.52%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Peloton Interactive is about 87000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.56. Peloton Interactive currently holds 1.98 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.0, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Peloton Interactive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Peloton Interactive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Peloton Interactive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peloton Interactive's future price movements. Getting to know how Peloton Interactive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peloton Interactive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YETI | YETI Holdings | 1.41 | 11 per month | 1.65 | 0.15 | 4.49 | (3.10) | 12.03 | |
| PRKS | United Parks Resorts | (0.09) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.60 | (5.35) | 28.36 | |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings | (0.58) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.69 | (2.86) | 10.62 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | (0.94) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.16 | (6.75) | 13.88 | |
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts | (0.38) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.75 | (4.37) | 16.72 | |
| VC | Visteon Corp | (0.64) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.85 | (3.27) | 8.62 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | (0.35) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.73 | (3.04) | 9.51 | |
| VSCO | Victorias Secret Co | 2.79 | 12 per month | 2.29 | 0.21 | 5.93 | (4.23) | 22.57 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.94) | 9 per month | 1.97 | 0.16 | 5.78 | (3.60) | 19.53 | |
| KAR | KAR Auction Services | (0.24) | 4 per month | 1.42 | 0.06 | 2.59 | (2.37) | 6.46 |
Peloton Interactive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Peloton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peloton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peloton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Peloton Interactive Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Peloton Interactive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Peloton Interactive, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Peloton Interactive based on analysis of Peloton Interactive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Peloton Interactive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Peloton Interactive's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 17.48 | 18.33 | 16.5 | 12.21 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 80.6 | 61.39 | 55.25 | 69.18 |
Pair Trading with Peloton Interactive
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Peloton Interactive position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Peloton Interactive will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Peloton Stock
| 0.74 | 002348 | Goldlok Toys Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | HAS | Hasbro Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | YETI | YETI Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | ESCA | Escalade Incorporated | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | GAW | Games Workshop Group | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | JOUT | Johnson Outdoors | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Peloton Interactive could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Peloton Interactive when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Peloton Interactive - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Peloton Interactive to buy it.
The correlation of Peloton Interactive is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Peloton Interactive moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Peloton Interactive moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Peloton Interactive can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Peloton Interactive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Will Leisure Products sector continue expanding? Could Peloton diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peloton Interactive. Anticipated expansion of Peloton directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Peloton Interactive data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Peloton Interactive using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Peloton Interactive's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Peloton Interactive's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Peloton Interactive's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Peloton Interactive should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Peloton Interactive's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.