Thredup Stock Price Prediction
| TDUP Stock | USD 1.55 0.21 15.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.62) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.36) | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.15) |
Using ThredUp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ThredUp from the perspective of ThredUp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
ThredUp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ThredUp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ThredUp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ThredUp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ThredUp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ThredUp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ThredUp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ThredUp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ThredUp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ThredUp after-hype prediction price | USD 1.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ThredUp |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ThredUp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ThredUp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ThredUp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ThredUp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ThredUp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ThredUp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ThredUp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ThredUp's historical news coverage. ThredUp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 11.45, respectively. We have considered ThredUp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ThredUp is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ThredUp is based on 3 months time horizon.
ThredUp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ThredUp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ThredUp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ThredUp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.33 | 9.81 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.55 | 1.64 | 5.81 |
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ThredUp Hype Timeline
ThredUp is at this time traded for 1.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. ThredUp is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 5.81%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.33%. The volatility of related hype on ThredUp is about 41305.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.52. ThredUp currently holds about 148.52 M in cash with (22.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.48. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out ThredUp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ThredUp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ThredUp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ThredUp's future price movements. Getting to know how ThredUp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ThredUp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
ThredUp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ThredUp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ThredUp using various technical indicators. When you analyze ThredUp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About ThredUp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ThredUp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ThredUp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ThredUp based on analysis of ThredUp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ThredUp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ThredUp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.52 | 12.31 | 11.44 | 6.03 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 48.68 | 66.58 | 52.91 | 34.91 |
Story Coverage note for ThredUp
The number of cover stories for ThredUp depends on current market conditions and ThredUp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ThredUp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ThredUp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ThredUp Short Properties
ThredUp's future price predictability will typically decrease when ThredUp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ThredUp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ThredUp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ThredUp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.2 M |
Additional Tools for ThredUp Stock Analysis
When running ThredUp's price analysis, check to measure ThredUp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ThredUp is operating at the current time. Most of ThredUp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ThredUp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ThredUp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ThredUp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.