Timberland Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| TSBK Stock | USD 38.13 1.44 3.92% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.209 | Wall Street Target Price 12.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
Using Timberland Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Timberland Bancorp from the perspective of Timberland Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Timberland Bancorp using Timberland Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Timberland using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Timberland Bancorp's stock price.
Timberland Bancorp Short Interest
An investor who is long Timberland Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Timberland Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Timberland Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.9129 | Short Percent 0.0045 | Short Ratio 2.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 29.3 K | 50 Day MA 35.5876 |
Timberland Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Timberland Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Timberland. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Timberland can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Timberland Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Timberland Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Timberland Bancorp.
Timberland Bancorp Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Timberland Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Timberland Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Timberland Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Timberland Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Timberland Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Timberland Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Timberland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Timberland Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 37.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Timberland contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Timberland Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Timberland Bancorp trading at USD 38.13, that is roughly USD 0.0238 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Timberland Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Timberland Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Timberland | Build AI portfolio with Timberland Stock |
Timberland Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Timberland Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Timberland Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Timberland Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Timberland Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Timberland Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Timberland Bancorp's historical news coverage. Timberland Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.48 and 38.68, respectively. We have considered Timberland Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Timberland Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Timberland Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Timberland Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Timberland Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timberland Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Timberland Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.67 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.13 | 37.08 | 0.03 |
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Timberland Bancorp Hype Timeline
Timberland Bancorp is at this time traded for 38.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Timberland is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 37.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Timberland Bancorp is about 1876.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.10. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Timberland Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 6th of June 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Timberland Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Timberland Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Timberland Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Timberland Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Timberland Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Timberland Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COSO | CoastalSouth Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.07 | 1.66 | (1.54) | 6.77 | |
| PKBK | Parke Bancorp | (0.41) | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.20 | 3.35 | (1.81) | 6.08 | |
| FDBC | Fidelity DD Bancorp | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.52 | (2.73) | 9.91 | |
| CZFS | Citizens Financial Services | 0.73 | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.05 | 4.15 | (2.86) | 10.38 | |
| FSBW | FS Bancorp | (0.09) | 8 per month | 1.27 | (0.01) | 3.28 | (2.12) | 12.80 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | (0.14) | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.02 | 3.44 | (2.04) | 7.07 | |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp | 0.38 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.08 | 3.69 | (2.36) | 7.66 | |
| LNKB | LINKBANCORP | (1.34) | 31 per month | 1.39 | 0.14 | 3.66 | (2.16) | 8.31 | |
| FUNC | First United | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.83 | (0.01) | 2.92 | (2.74) | 11.47 | |
| ISTR | Investar Holding Corp | 0.19 | 7 per month | 0.68 | 0.14 | 2.78 | (1.54) | 8.74 |
Timberland Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Timberland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timberland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Timberland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Timberland Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Timberland Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Timberland Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timberland Bancorp based on analysis of Timberland Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Timberland Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Timberland Bancorp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0314 | 0.0307 | 0.0276 | 0.0254 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.4 | 2.38 | 2.74 | 2.85 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Timberland Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timberland Bancorp. If investors know Timberland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Timberland Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.209 | Dividend Share 1.05 | Earnings Share 3.85 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
Timberland Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Timberland's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Timberland Bancorp's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Timberland Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timberland Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timberland Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timberland Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.