Xponential Fitness Stock Price Prediction
| XPOF Stock | USD 15.70 0.76 5.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6257 | Wall Street Target Price 19.1111 |
Using Xponential Fitness hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xponential Fitness from the perspective of Xponential Fitness response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Xponential Fitness Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Xponential Fitness' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Xponential. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xponential can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xponential Fitness. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xponential Fitness' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xponential Fitness.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xponential Fitness to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xponential because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xponential Fitness after-hype prediction price | USD 14.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xponential |
Xponential Fitness After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xponential Fitness at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xponential Fitness or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xponential Fitness, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xponential Fitness Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xponential Fitness' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xponential Fitness' historical news coverage. Xponential Fitness' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.95 and 19.47, respectively. We have considered Xponential Fitness' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xponential Fitness is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xponential Fitness is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xponential Fitness Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xponential Fitness is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xponential Fitness backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xponential Fitness, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 4.76 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 9 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.70 | 14.71 | 1.54 |
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Xponential Fitness Hype Timeline
Xponential Fitness is at this time traded for 15.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Xponential is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.54%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Xponential Fitness is about 869.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.86. About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. Xponential Fitness recorded a loss per share of 1.15. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Xponential Fitness Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xponential Fitness Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xponential Fitness' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xponential Fitness' future price movements. Getting to know how Xponential Fitness' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xponential Fitness may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Xponential Fitness Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xponential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xponential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xponential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xponential Fitness Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xponential Fitness stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xponential Fitness, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xponential Fitness based on analysis of Xponential Fitness hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xponential Fitness's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xponential Fitness's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0401 | 0.028 | 0.0173 | 0.0165 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.15 | 2.37 | 1.28 | 1.22 |
Story Coverage note for Xponential Fitness
The number of cover stories for Xponential Fitness depends on current market conditions and Xponential Fitness' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xponential Fitness is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xponential Fitness' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xponential Fitness Short Properties
Xponential Fitness' future price predictability will typically decrease when Xponential Fitness' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xponential Fitness often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xponential Fitness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xponential Fitness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Xponential Stock analysis
When running Xponential Fitness' price analysis, check to measure Xponential Fitness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xponential Fitness is operating at the current time. Most of Xponential Fitness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xponential Fitness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xponential Fitness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xponential Fitness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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