This module uses fundamental data of Natural Grocers to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Natural Grocers M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Natural Grocers Piotroski F Score and Natural Grocers Altman Z Score analysis.
Natural
Beneish M Score
Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Price To Sales Ratio
Dividend Yield
Ptb Ratio
Free Cash Flow Yield
Operating Cash Flow Per Share
Stock Based Compensation To Revenue
Capex To Depreciation
Pb Ratio
Free Cash Flow Per Share
Roic
Inventory Turnover
Net Income Per Share
Payables Turnover
Sales General And Administrative To Revenue
Capex To Revenue
Pocfratio
Interest Coverage
Payout Ratio
Capex To Operating Cash Flow
Pfcf Ratio
Income Quality
Roe
Pe Ratio
Return On Tangible Assets
Earnings Yield
Intangibles To Total Assets
Current Ratio
Receivables Turnover
Debt To Equity
Capex Per Share
Revenue Per Share
Debt To Assets
Days Sales Outstanding
Book Value Per Share
Ev To Sales
Days Of Inventory On Hand
Average Inventory
Cash Per Share
Days Payables Outstanding
Ev To Operating Cash Flow
Ev To Free Cash Flow
Net Debt To E B I T D A
Tangible Book Value Per Share
Graham Number
Shareholders Equity Per Share
Graham Net Net
Interest Debt Per Share
Enterprise Value Over E B I T D A
Short Term Coverage Ratios
Price Earnings Ratio
Price Book Value Ratio
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio
Dividend Payout Ratio
Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio
Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio
Pretax Profit Margin
Ebt Per Ebit
Operating Profit Margin
Effective Tax Rate
Company Equity Multiplier
Long Term Debt To Capitalization
Total Debt To Capitalization
Return On Capital Employed
Debt Equity Ratio
Ebit Per Revenue
Quick Ratio
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio
Net Income Per E B T
Cash Ratio
Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio
Free Cash Flow Operating Cash Flow Ratio
Cash Flow Coverage Ratios
Price To Book Ratio
Fixed Asset Turnover
Capital Expenditure Coverage Ratio
Price Cash Flow Ratio
Debt Ratio
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio
Price Sales Ratio
Return On Assets
Asset Turnover
Net Profit Margin
Gross Profit Margin
Price Fair Value
Return On Equity
Operating Cycle
Days Of Payables Outstanding
Cash Conversion Cycle
Days Of Inventory Outstanding
Days Of Sales Outstanding
Enterprise Value Multiple
Change To Inventory
Change In Cash
Stock Based Compensation
Free Cash Flow
Change In Working Capital
Begin Period Cash Flow
Other Cashflows From Financing Activities
Depreciation
Other Non Cash Items
Capital Expenditures
Total Cash From Operating Activities
Change To Account Receivables
Net Income
Total Cash From Financing Activities
End Period Cash Flow
Change To Liabilities
Other Cashflows From Investing Activities
Sale Purchase Of Stock
Investments
Change Receivables
Net Borrowings
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities
Dividends Paid
Cash And Cash Equivalents Changes
Cash Flows Other Operating
Change To Netincome
Change To Operating Activities
Common Stock Shares Outstanding
Total Assets
Short Long Term Debt Total
Other Current Liab
Total Current Liabilities
Total Stockholder Equity
Other Liab
Property Plant And Equipment Net
Current Deferred Revenue
Net Debt
Retained Earnings
Accounts Payable
Cash
Non Current Assets Total
Non Currrent Assets Other
Other Assets
Long Term Debt
Cash And Short Term Investments
Net Receivables
Good Will
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity
Non Current Liabilities Total
Inventory
Other Current Assets
Other Stockholder Equity
Total Liab
Property Plant And Equipment Gross
Total Current Assets
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income
Short Term Debt
Intangible Assets
Common Stock
Property Plant Equipment
Common Stock Total Equity
Net Tangible Assets
Retained Earnings Total Equity
Long Term Debt Total
Capital Surpluse
Deferred Long Term Liab
Treasury Stock
Short Long Term Debt
Non Current Liabilities Other
Capital Lease Obligations
Net Invested Capital
Net Working Capital
Depreciation And Amortization
Interest Expense
Selling General Administrative
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
Other Operating Expenses
Operating Income
Ebit
Ebitda
Cost Of Revenue
Total Operating Expenses
Income Before Tax
Total Other Income Expense Net
Income Tax Expense
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares
Minority Interest
Net Income From Continuing Ops
Non Recurring
Non Operating Income Net Other
Tax Provision
Interest Income
Net Interest Income
Reconciled Depreciation
Probability Of Bankruptcy
At present, Natural Grocers' Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 48.7 M, whereas Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 6.5 M. At present, Natural Grocers' Dividend Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Free Cash Flow Yield is expected to grow to 0.11, whereas PTB Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.88.
At this time, it appears that Natural Grocers by is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Natural Grocers' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Natural Grocers executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Natural Grocers' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Natural Grocers' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Natural Grocers' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Natural Grocers in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Natural Grocers' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.
M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.
Depreciation And Amortization
23.16 Million
At present, Natural Grocers' Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
Natural Grocers Earnings Manipulation Drivers
Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Natural Grocers. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Natural Grocers' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Natural Grocers' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
About Natural Grocers Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natural Grocers by's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natural Grocers using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Grocers by based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Natural Grocers by offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Grocers' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Grocers By Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Grocers By Stock:
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Grocers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.29
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
1.34
Revenue Per Share
53.344
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
The market value of Natural Grocers by is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Grocers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Grocers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Grocers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Grocers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Grocers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Grocers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Grocers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.