Natural Grocers By Stock Technical Analysis
| NGVC Stock | USD 25.14 0.01 0.04% |
As of the 19th of February, Natural Grocers secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), standard deviation of 2.44, and Mean Deviation of 1.93. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Grocers by, as well as the relationship between them.
Natural Grocers Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Natural, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NaturalNatural Grocers' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Natural Grocers Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 54.0 | Strong Sell | 0 | Odds |
Most Natural analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Natural stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Natural Grocers by, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Natural conference calls.
Natural Analyst Advice DetailsWill Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Natural diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Natural Grocers data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 1.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Understanding Natural Grocers by requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Natural's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Natural Grocers' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Natural Grocers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Grocers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Grocers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Natural Grocers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Natural Grocers 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Grocers' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Grocers.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Natural Grocers on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Grocers by or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Grocers over 90 days. Natural Grocers is related to or competes with Seneca Foods, John B, Krispy Kreme, Mission Produce, Herbalife Nutrition, KinderCare Learning, and Village Super. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and die... More
Natural Grocers Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Grocers' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Grocers by upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 |
Natural Grocers Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Grocers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Grocers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Grocers historical prices to predict the future Natural Grocers' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.04) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Grocers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Grocers February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.03) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (678.39) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 | |||
| Skewness | 0.2993 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.22) |
Natural Grocers by Backtested Returns
Natural Grocers by has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0806, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0806 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Natural Grocers exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Natural Grocers' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), standard deviation of 2.44, and Mean Deviation of 1.93 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.36, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Natural Grocers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Grocers is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Natural Grocers by has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to verify Natural Grocers' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Natural Grocers by performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.6 |
Good reverse predictability
Natural Grocers by has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Grocers time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Grocers by price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Natural Grocers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.6 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.12 |
Natural Grocers technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Natural Grocers by Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Natural Grocers by volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Natural Grocers Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Natural Grocers by on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Grocers by based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Natural Grocers by price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Natural Grocers by. By analyzing Natural Grocers's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Natural Grocers's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Natural Grocers specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0471 | 0.012 | 0.0138 | 0.0131 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.54 | 0.69 | 0.79 | 0.89 |
Natural Grocers February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Natural help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.03) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (678.39) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.94 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 | |||
| Skewness | 0.2993 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.22) |
Natural Grocers February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natural stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2,173 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.02 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 25.11 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 25.12 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 |
Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis
When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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