Natural Grocers Valuation

NGVC Stock  USD 48.94  0.87  1.75%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Natural Grocers by secures a last-minute Real Value of $36.38 per share. The latest price of the firm is $48.94. Our model forecasts the value of Natural Grocers by from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.03 %, current valuation of 1.46 B, and Return On Equity of 0.18 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Natural Grocers' valuation include:
Price Book
6.1704
Enterprise Value
1.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
18.0735
Price Sales
0.8836
Trailing PE
25.9552
Overvalued
Today
48.94
Please note that Natural Grocers' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Natural Grocers by is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Natural Grocers' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Natural Grocers is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Natural Stock. However, Natural Grocers' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  48.94 Real  36.38 Target  19.0 Hype  50.22
The real value of Natural Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Natural Grocers by Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Natural Grocers' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Natural Grocers' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
36.38
Real Value
53.83
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Natural Grocers by helps investors to forecast how Natural stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Natural Grocers more accurately as focusing exclusively on Natural Grocers' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.1150.2254.33
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.2919.0021.09
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Natural Grocers' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Natural Grocers' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Natural Grocers' closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Natural Grocers we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Natural Grocers Cash

11.14 Million

Natural Valuation Trend

Comparing Natural Grocers' enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Natural Grocers by uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Natural Grocers Total Value Analysis

Natural Grocers by is now anticipated to have valuation of 1.46 B with market capitalization of 792.76 M, debt of 346.51 M, and cash on hands of 12.04 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Natural Grocers fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.46 B
792.76 M
346.51 M
12.04 M

Natural Grocers Investor Information

About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2024. Based on the key indicators related to Natural Grocers' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Natural Grocers by may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.03520.0435
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities89.1 M84.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income56.7 M54 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Natural Grocers Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Natural Grocers has an asset utilization ratio of 189.42 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $1.89 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Natural Grocers by is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Natural Grocers Ownership Allocation

Natural Grocers by maintains a total of 22.79 Million outstanding shares. Natural Grocers by holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Natural Grocers Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.24 B. Net Income was 33.94 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 377.27 M.

Natural Grocers Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Natural Grocers' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Natural Grocers and how it compares across the competition.

About Natural Grocers Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Natural Grocers' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Natural Grocers. We calculate exposure to Natural Grocers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Natural Grocers's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit419.5 M220.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.31 

Natural Grocers Quarterly Retained Earnings

121.09 Million

Natural Grocers' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Natural Grocers' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Natural Grocers can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Natural Grocers represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Natural, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Natural Grocers Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Natural Grocers' Dividend Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.64, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to about 76.9 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid36.6 M38.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.08 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.08  1.00 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.94  0.84 
There are various types of dividends Natural Grocers can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Natural shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Natural Grocers by directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Natural pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Natural Grocers by the value of the dividends paid out.

Natural Grocers Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.29

Natural Grocers Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Natural Grocers by and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Natural we look at many different elements of the entity such as Natural's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Natural Grocers, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Natural Grocers' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Natural Grocers' worth.

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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