Natural Grocers by Key Fundamental Indicators
| NGVC Stock | USD 24.68 0.97 3.78% |
As of the 10th of February, Natural Grocers secures the Standard Deviation of 2.25, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Mean Deviation of 1.78. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Grocers by, as well as the relationship between them.
Natural Grocers Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 0.6814 | Revenue |
Natural | Select Account or Indicator | Build AI portfolio with Natural Stock |
Natural Grocers Balance Sheet | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Natural Grocers Income Statement | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Natural Grocers Cash Flow Statement | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Natural Fundamental Market Drivers
Natural Upcoming Events
| 1st of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 21st of November 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Natural Return On Equity Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Natural Grocers is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Natural Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Return On Equity. Since Natural Grocers' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Natural Grocers' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Natural Grocers' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Natural diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Natural Grocers data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 1.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Understanding Natural Grocers by requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Natural's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Natural Grocers' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Natural Grocers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Grocers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Grocers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Natural Grocers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Natural Grocers 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Grocers' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Grocers.
| 11/12/2025 |
| 02/10/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Natural Grocers on November 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Grocers by or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Grocers over 90 days. Natural Grocers is related to or competes with Ambev SA, Keurig Dr, Kimberly Clark, JBS NV, and Hershey. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and die... More
Natural Grocers Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Grocers' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Grocers by upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.08 |
Natural Grocers Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Grocers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Grocers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Grocers historical prices to predict the future Natural Grocers' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.44) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Grocers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Grocers February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.43) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (755.93) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.56) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.44) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.08 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3257 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.09) |
Natural Grocers by Backtested Returns
Natural Grocers by has Sharpe Ratio of -0.16, which conveys that the firm had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Natural Grocers exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Natural Grocers' Standard Deviation of 2.25, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Mean Deviation of 1.78 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.7, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Natural Grocers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Grocers is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Natural Grocers by has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to verify Natural Grocers' total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Natural Grocers by performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.69 |
Very good reverse predictability
Natural Grocers by has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Grocers time series from 12th of November 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Grocers by price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Natural Grocers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.57 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.08 |
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
| Competition |
Natural Total Stockholder Equity
Total Stockholder Equity |
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Based on the latest financial disclosure, Natural Grocers by has a Return On Equity of 0.2358. This is 91.07% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and 97.59% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The return on equity for all United States stocks is 176.06% lower than that of the firm.
Natural Grocers by Fundamental Drivers Relationships
Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Natural Grocers's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Natural Grocers value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Natural Grocers competition to find correlations between indicators driving Natural Grocers's intrinsic value. More Info.Natural Grocers by is regarded second in return on equity category among its peers. It is regarded fourth in return on asset category among its peers reporting about 0.24 of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Natural Grocers by is roughly 4.12 . At present, Natural Grocers' Return On Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Natural Grocers' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.Natural Return On Equity Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Natural Grocers' direct or indirect competition against its Return On Equity to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Natural Grocers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Grocers by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Natural Grocers is currently under evaluation in return on equity category among its peers.
Natural Grocers Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Natural Grocers from analyzing Natural Grocers' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Natural Grocers' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Natural Grocers' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 253.5M | 244.6M | 293.4M | 676.2M | 777.6M | 422.1M | |
| Enterprise Value | 631.3M | 625.9M | 645.2M | 1.0B | 912.4M | 958.1M |
Natural Grocers ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Natural Grocers' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Natural Grocers' managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Natural Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0572 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 910.5 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 22.95 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 44.37 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.45 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.42 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.25 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.77 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.44 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.33 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 445.36 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 93.8 M | ||||
| Net Income | 46.44 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 12.04 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.53 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 332.02 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.52 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.82 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.3 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 6.62 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.88 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 6.47 X | ||||
| Target Price | 54.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 3.46 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.2 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 730.4 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 670.5 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 149.34 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 9.29 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 97.33 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 66.54 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 670.5 M | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.46 |
About Natural Grocers Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natural Grocers by's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natural Grocers using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Grocers by based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Current Deferred Revenue | 2.2 M | 2.3 M | |
| Total Revenue | 1.5 B | 823.8 M | |
| Cost Of Revenue | 1.1 B | 590.2 M | |
| Sales General And Administrative To Revenue | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Capex To Revenue | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Revenue Per Share | 52.22 | 26.54 | |
| Ebit Per Revenue | 0.05 | 0.04 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Natural Grocers by offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Grocers' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Grocers By Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Grocers By Stock:Check out You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Natural diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Natural Grocers data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 1.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Understanding Natural Grocers by requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Natural's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Natural Grocers' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Natural Grocers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Grocers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Grocers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Natural Grocers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.