Natural Grocers by Key Fundamental Indicators

NGVC Stock  USD 24.68  0.97  3.78%   
As of the 10th of February, Natural Grocers secures the Standard Deviation of 2.25, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Mean Deviation of 1.78. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Grocers by, as well as the relationship between them.

Natural Grocers Total Revenue

823.84 Million

Natural Grocers' financial statements offer valuable quarterly and annual insights to potential investors, highlighting the company's current and historical financial position, overall management performance, and changes in financial standing over time. Key fundamentals influencing Natural Grocers' valuation are provided below:
Gross Profit
445.4 M
Profit Margin
0.0331
Market Capitalization
730.4 M
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.6814
Revenue
1.3 B
We have found one hundred twenty available fundamental ratios for Natural Grocers, which can be analyzed and compared to other ratios and to its peers in the industry. Investors should ensure to check all of Natural Grocers' last-minute performance against the performance from 2010 to 2026 to make sure the company is sustainable down the road. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 958.1 M, whereas Market Cap is forecasted to decline to about 422.1 M. This module does not cover all equities due to inconsistencies in global equity categorizations. Continue to Equity Screeners to view more equity screening tools.
At present, Natural Grocers' EBIT is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's EBITDA is expected to grow to about 113.3 M, whereas Depreciation And Amortization is forecasted to decline to about 24.5 M.
  
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Natural Grocers Balance Sheet

Current ValueLast YearHistorical Average 10 Year Trend
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.9 M26.7 M23 M
Slightly volatile
Total Assets416.6 M771.1 M421.6 M
Slightly volatile
Short and Long Term Debt Total400.9 M381.8 M197.5 M
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities98.3 M182.6 M98.6 M
Slightly volatile
Total Stockholder Equity136.8 M244.3 M138.7 M
Slightly volatile
Other Liabilities19.4 M16.6 M17.9 M
Pretty Stable
Property Plant And Equipment Net294 M558 M299.2 M
Slightly volatile
Retained Earnings180.3 M171.7 M90.3 M
Slightly volatile
Accounts Payable59.3 M93.1 M58.7 M
Slightly volatile
Cash11.6 M19.7 M11.8 M
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total303 M577.8 M308.5 M
Slightly volatile
Other Assets929.1 K474.9 K777.7 K
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt6.5 M6.8 M17.4 M
Slightly volatile
Cash And Short Term Investments11.8 M19.7 M11.9 M
Slightly volatile
Net Receivables14.4 M13.8 M7.2 M
Slightly volatile
Good Will4.1 MM4.1 M
Slightly volatile
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity416.6 M771.1 M421.6 M
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total181.3 M344.2 M184.3 M
Slightly volatile
Inventory91.4 M152.9 M90.8 M
Slightly volatile
Other Current Assets4.2 M6.9 M4.2 M
Slightly volatile
Other Stockholder Equity73.9 M56.7 M89.9 M
Pretty Stable
Total Liabilities279.5 M526.8 M282.9 M
Slightly volatile
Property Plant And Equipment Gross945.8 M900.8 M371 M
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets113.6 M193.3 M113.2 M
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt97.9 M93.3 M32.5 M
Slightly volatile
Intangible Assets7.9 M7.5 M3.9 M
Slightly volatile
Common Stock19.7 K20.7 K67.8 K
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment606.3 M577.4 M297.8 M
Slightly volatile
Common Stock Total Equity24.9 K26.4 K23.1 K
Slightly volatile
Net Tangible Assets145.4 M180.2 M133.1 M
Slightly volatile
Retained Earnings Total Equity91.7 M112.4 M81.9 M
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt Total50.9 M65.7 M47.3 M
Slightly volatile
Capital Surpluse61.5 M66.8 M57 M
Slightly volatile
Short and Long Term Debt1.5 M1.6 M14.9 M
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Other446.3 M425 M203.6 M
Slightly volatile
Capital Lease Obligations259.1 M381.8 M185.7 M
Slightly volatile
Net Invested Capital190.8 M244.3 M174.7 M
Slightly volatile
Capital Stock18.4 K20.7 K22.6 K
Slightly volatile

Natural Grocers Income Statement

Current ValueLast YearHistorical Average 10 Year Trend
Depreciation And Amortization24.5 M36.6 M25 M
Slightly volatile
Interest Expense2.9 M3.5 M2.9 M
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative45.3 M47.6 M117.3 M
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue823.8 M1.5 B858.5 M
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit233.7 M457.6 M244.6 M
Slightly volatile
Other Operating Expenses796.1 M1.5 B828.4 M
Slightly volatile
Operating Income74.9 M71.3 M31.3 M
Slightly volatile
EBITDA113.3 M107.9 M52.1 M
Slightly volatile
Cost Of Revenue590.2 M1.1 B613.9 M
Slightly volatile
Total Operating Expenses205.9 M386.3 M214.5 M
Slightly volatile
Income Before Tax71.2 M67.8 M28.3 M
Slightly volatile
Net Income56.1 M53.4 M21.5 M
Slightly volatile
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares14.2 M26.7 M15.5 M
Slightly volatile
Minority Interest832.5 K745.2 K844.6 K
Slightly volatile
Selling And Marketing Expenses260.6 M377.1 M284.5 M
Slightly volatile
Net Income From Continuing Ops56.1 M53.4 M22.2 M
Slightly volatile
Non Recurring946.5 K996.3 K2.3 M
Slightly volatile
Interest Income4.3 M5.7 M4.2 M
Slightly volatile
Reconciled Depreciation32.8 M36.6 M30.3 M
Slightly volatile
Extraordinary Items3.4 M3.9 M4.2 M
Slightly volatile

Natural Grocers Cash Flow Statement

Current ValueLast YearHistorical Average 10 Year Trend
Stock Based Compensation4.8 M4.6 M1.6 M
Slightly volatile
Begin Period Cash Flow10.2 M10.2 M10.3 M
Slightly volatile
Depreciation24.2 M36.6 M24.8 M
Slightly volatile
Capital Expenditures34.2 M35.9 M33.3 M
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities42.9 M63.6 M43.9 M
Slightly volatile
Net Income56.1 M53.4 M21.7 M
Slightly volatile
End Period Cash Flow11.1 M19.7 M11.8 M
Slightly volatile

Financial Ratios

Current ValueLast YearHistorical Average 10 Year Trend
Price To Sales Ratio0.890.790.7132
Slightly volatile
Dividend Yield0.01310.01380.0377
Very volatile
PTB Ratio7.674.975.6759
Slightly volatile
Days Sales Outstanding3.153.772.7836
Slightly volatile
Book Value Per Share4.428.335.9022
Slightly volatile
Operating Cash Flow Per Share1.382.171.8735
Slightly volatile
Stock Based Compensation To Revenue0.00280.00270.0016
Slightly volatile
Capex To Depreciation1.821.131.5517
Slightly volatile
PB Ratio7.674.975.6759
Slightly volatile
EV To Sales0.981.060.8594
Slightly volatile
ROIC0.08060.09480.0741
Slightly volatile
Inventory Turnover5.316.316.5627
Pretty Stable
Net Income Per Share1.911.820.8859
Slightly volatile
Days Of Inventory On Hand60.8659.8255.7544
Slightly volatile
Payables Turnover11.5313.2510.6415
Slightly volatile
Sales General And Administrative To Revenue0.04760.03580.0434
Slightly volatile
Average Inventory119.8 M114.1 M109.8 M
Slightly volatile
Capex To Revenue0.02560.0270.0446
Slightly volatile
Cash Per Share0.380.670.5062
Slightly volatile
POCF Ratio16.8619.0812.9664
Slightly volatile
Interest Coverage19.1318.2111.2484
Slightly volatile
Payout Ratio0.260.270.4806
Pretty Stable
Capex To Operating Cash Flow1.020.650.8692
Slightly volatile
Days Payables Outstanding38.5936.4435.5829
Very volatile
Income Quality1.31.372.6707
Slightly volatile
ROE0.170.250.1501
Very volatile
EV To Operating Cash Flow18.9325.6317.3198
Slightly volatile
PE Ratio21.5822.7232.859
Slightly volatile
Return On Tangible Assets0.0530.08110.0506
Pretty Stable
Earnings Yield0.03470.04560.047
Slightly volatile
Intangibles To Total Assets0.01350.01580.0169
Slightly volatile
Current Ratio1.381.221.2641
Slightly volatile
Tangible Book Value Per Share4.177.875.5723
Slightly volatile
Receivables Turnover162128152
Slightly volatile
Graham Number19.4118.4910.8524
Slightly volatile
Shareholders Equity Per Share4.418.335.8979
Slightly volatile
Debt To Equity0.981.411.1895
Slightly volatile
Capex Per Share1.11.221.4304
Very volatile
Average Receivables2.3 M2.6 M2.8 M
Slightly volatile
Revenue Per Share26.5452.2236.5096
Slightly volatile
Interest Debt Per Share13.8113.158.3814
Slightly volatile
Debt To Assets0.260.450.3305
Slightly volatile
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA17.6315.1115.3606
Slightly volatile
Short Term Coverage Ratios1.491.5749.1254
Slightly volatile
Price Earnings Ratio21.5822.7232.859
Slightly volatile
Operating Cycle64.0163.658.5386
Pretty Stable
Price Book Value Ratio7.674.975.6759
Slightly volatile
Days Of Payables Outstanding38.5936.4435.5829
Very volatile
Dividend Payout Ratio0.260.270.4806
Pretty Stable
Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio16.8619.0812.9664
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.03190.05090.0303
Very volatile
Ebt Per Ebit0.70.860.8548
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.03610.05360.0341
Very volatile
Company Equity Multiplier2.542.842.9841
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt To Capitalization0.510.480.2756
Slightly volatile
Total Debt To Capitalization0.360.550.4412
Slightly volatile
Return On Capital Employed0.120.140.1107
Slightly volatile
Debt Equity Ratio0.981.411.1895
Slightly volatile
Ebit Per Revenue0.03610.05360.0341
Very volatile
Quick Ratio0.260.250.2458
Pretty Stable
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio0.861.181.0988
Pretty Stable
Net Income Per E B T0.570.710.7239
Slightly volatile
Cash Ratio0.140.120.1325
Pretty Stable
Cash Conversion Cycle25.4227.1622.9557
Pretty Stable
Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio0.05890.04780.0541
Slightly volatile
Days Of Inventory Outstanding60.8659.8255.7544
Slightly volatile
Days Of Sales Outstanding3.153.772.7836
Slightly volatile
Cash Flow Coverage Ratios0.180.190.767
Slightly volatile
Price To Book Ratio7.674.975.6759
Slightly volatile
Fixed Asset Turnover4.373.153.8031
Slightly volatile
Capital Expenditure Coverage Ratio1.021.61.3421
Slightly volatile
Price Cash Flow Ratio16.8619.0812.9664
Slightly volatile
Enterprise Value Multiple17.6315.1115.3606
Slightly volatile
Debt Ratio0.260.450.3305
Slightly volatile
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio0.180.190.767
Slightly volatile
Price Sales Ratio0.890.790.7132
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.05230.07970.0498
Pretty Stable
Asset Turnover2.672.282.38
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.01590.03140.0207
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.320.340.2895
Slightly volatile
Price Fair Value7.674.975.6759
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.170.250.1501
Very volatile

Natural Grocers Valuation Data

Current ValueLast YearHistorical Average 10 Year Trend
Market Cap422.1 M777.6 M424.5 M
Very volatile
Enterprise Value958.1 M912.4 M606.8 M
Slightly volatile

Natural Fundamental Market Drivers

Natural Upcoming Events

1st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Natural Return On Equity Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Natural Grocers is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Natural Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Return On Equity. Since Natural Grocers' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Natural Grocers' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Natural Grocers' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Natural diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Natural Grocers data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Dividend Share
0.46
Earnings Share
1.88
Revenue Per Share
57.533
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
Understanding Natural Grocers by requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Natural's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Natural Grocers' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Natural Grocers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Grocers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Grocers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Natural Grocers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Natural Grocers 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Grocers' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Grocers.
0.00
11/12/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/10/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Natural Grocers on November 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Grocers by or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Grocers over 90 days. Natural Grocers is related to or competes with Ambev SA, Keurig Dr, Kimberly Clark, JBS NV, and Hershey. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and die... More

Natural Grocers Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Grocers' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Grocers by upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Natural Grocers Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Grocers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Grocers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Grocers historical prices to predict the future Natural Grocers' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Grocers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9626.2128.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0933.0835.33
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.1454.0059.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.540.540.54
Details

Natural Grocers February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators

Natural Grocers by Backtested Returns

Natural Grocers by has Sharpe Ratio of -0.16, which conveys that the firm had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Natural Grocers exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Natural Grocers' Standard Deviation of 2.25, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Mean Deviation of 1.78 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.7, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Natural Grocers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Grocers is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Natural Grocers by has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to verify Natural Grocers' total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Natural Grocers by performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Natural Grocers by has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Grocers time series from 12th of November 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Grocers by price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Natural Grocers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.08
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Competition

Natural Total Stockholder Equity

Total Stockholder Equity

136.84 Million

At present, Natural Grocers' Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Natural Grocers by has a Return On Equity of 0.2358. This is 91.07% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and 97.59% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The return on equity for all United States stocks is 176.06% lower than that of the firm.

Natural Grocers by Fundamental Drivers Relationships

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Natural Grocers's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Natural Grocers value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Natural Grocers competition to find correlations between indicators driving Natural Grocers's intrinsic value. More Info.
Natural Grocers by is regarded second in return on equity category among its peers. It is regarded fourth in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.24  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Natural Grocers by is roughly  4.12 . At present, Natural Grocers' Return On Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Natural Grocers' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

Natural Return On Equity Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Natural Grocers' direct or indirect competition against its Return On Equity to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Natural Grocers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Grocers by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Natural Grocers is currently under evaluation in return on equity category among its peers.

Natural Grocers Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Natural Grocers from analyzing Natural Grocers' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Natural Grocers' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Natural Grocers' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Market Cap253.5M244.6M293.4M676.2M777.6M422.1M
Enterprise Value631.3M625.9M645.2M1.0B912.4M958.1M

Natural Grocers ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Natural Grocers' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Natural Grocers' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Natural Fundamentals

About Natural Grocers Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natural Grocers by's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natural Grocers using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Grocers by based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Current Deferred Revenue2.2 M2.3 M
Total Revenue1.5 B823.8 M
Cost Of Revenue1.1 B590.2 M
Sales General And Administrative To Revenue 0.04  0.05 
Capex To Revenue 0.03  0.03 
Revenue Per Share 52.22  26.54 
Ebit Per Revenue 0.05  0.04 

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Natural Grocers by offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Grocers' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Grocers By Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Grocers By Stock:
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Natural diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Natural Grocers data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Dividend Share
0.46
Earnings Share
1.88
Revenue Per Share
57.533
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
Understanding Natural Grocers by requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Natural's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Natural Grocers' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Natural Grocers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Grocers' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Grocers should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Natural Grocers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.