Timberland Bancorp Stock Market Value
| TSBK Stock | USD 32.39 0.66 2.00% |
| Symbol | Timberland |
Timberland Bancorp Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timberland Bancorp. If investors know Timberland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Timberland Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 0.95 | Earnings Share 3.01 | Revenue Per Share 9.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Timberland Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timberland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timberland Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timberland Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timberland Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timberland Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timberland Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timberland Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timberland Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Timberland Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timberland Bancorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timberland Bancorp.
| 11/06/2023 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Timberland Bancorp on November 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timberland Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timberland Bancorp over 390 days. Timberland Bancorp is related to or competes with First Financial, FVCBankcorp, Community West, Sierra Bancorp, First Northwest, Shore Bancshares, and Virginia National. Timberland Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Timberland Bank that provides various community bankin... More
Timberland Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timberland Bancorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timberland Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.66 |
Timberland Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timberland Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timberland Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timberland Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Timberland Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0455 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0571 |
Timberland Bancorp Backtested Returns
As of now, Timberland Stock is not too volatile. Timberland Bancorp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0466, which indicates the firm had a 0.0466% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Timberland Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Timberland Bancorp's Semi Deviation of 2.34, coefficient of variation of 1976.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0455 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Timberland Bancorp has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.93, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timberland Bancorp will likely underperform. Timberland Bancorp right now has a risk of 2.4%. Please validate Timberland Bancorp treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Timberland Bancorp will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.7 |
Very good reverse predictability
Timberland Bancorp has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timberland Bancorp time series from 6th of November 2023 to 19th of May 2024 and 19th of May 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timberland Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Timberland Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.52 |
Timberland Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Timberland Bancorp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Timberland Bancorp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Timberland Bancorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Timberland Bancorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Timberland Bancorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Timberland Bancorp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Timberland Bancorp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Timberland Bancorp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Timberland Bancorp Lagged Returns
When evaluating Timberland Bancorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Timberland Bancorp stock have on its future price. Timberland Bancorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Timberland Bancorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Timberland Bancorp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Timberland Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Timberland Bancorp Correlation, Timberland Bancorp Volatility and Timberland Bancorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Timberland Bancorp. For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Timberland Bancorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.