First Mid Illinois Stock Technical Analysis
| FMBH Stock | USD 41.13 0.37 0.89% |
As of the 4th of March, First Mid shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 1360.31, downside deviation of 1.53, and Mean Deviation of 1.23. First Mid Illinois technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Mid Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Mid's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Mid Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 48.0 | Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Mid Illinois, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will First introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Mid. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about First Mid listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.238 | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 3.8 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
First Mid Illinois's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Mid's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since First Mid's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Mid 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Mid's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Mid.
| 12/04/2025 |
| 03/04/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Mid on December 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Mid Illinois or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Mid over 90 days. First Mid is related to or competes with Southside Bancshares, Univest Pennsylvania, Tompkins Financial, Amalgamated Bank, Burke Herbert, Hanmi Financial, and Dime Community. First Mid Bancshares, Inc., a financial holding company, provides community banking products and services to commercial,... More
First Mid Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Mid's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Mid Illinois upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0461 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 |
First Mid Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Mid historical prices to predict the future First Mid's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.074 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0321 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0513 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1024 |
First Mid March 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1124 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1360.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0461 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.074 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0321 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0513 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1024 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4329 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.85 |
First Mid Illinois Backtested Returns
First Mid is very steady at the moment. First Mid Illinois secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0344, which denotes the company had a 0.0344 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Mid Illinois, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First Mid's Mean Deviation of 1.23, coefficient of variation of 1360.31, and Downside Deviation of 1.53 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0585%. First Mid has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.13, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Mid returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Mid is expected to follow. First Mid Illinois right now shows a risk of 1.7%. Please confirm First Mid Illinois expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if First Mid Illinois will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.38 |
Poor reverse predictability
First Mid Illinois has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Mid time series from 4th of December 2025 to 18th of January 2026 and 18th of January 2026 to 4th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Mid Illinois price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current First Mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.19 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.01 |
First Mid technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Mid Illinois Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First Mid Illinois across different markets.
About First Mid Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Mid Illinois on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Mid Illinois based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Mid Illinois price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Mid Illinois. By analyzing First Mid's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Mid's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Mid specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0259 | 0.0255 | 0.0251 | 0.0172 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.98 | 1.96 | 2.0 | 1.82 |
First Mid March 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1124 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1360.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0461 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.074 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0321 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0513 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1024 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4329 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.85 |
First Mid March 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5,698 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 40.42 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 40.66 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.52 |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Mid's price analysis, check to measure First Mid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Mid is operating at the current time. Most of First Mid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Mid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Mid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Mid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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